Never-Wrong Model Shows President Obama Winning in 2012

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President Obama: Winning?Photo: MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images

The consensus opinion on President Obama's reelection hopes is that if the economy continues to struggle through next November — which it's expected to — he'll have a tough time convincing voters he deserves another four years, especially since he'll almost definitely face Mitt "Private Business Experience" Romney or Rick "Every New Job Is in Texas" Perry. But according to American University professor Allan Lichtman's presidential election prediction model, which is only somewhat based on the economy, Obama is going to win. “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” Lichtman says. This model, by the way, has correctly guessed the winner of every presidential election since 1984. Seven out of seven — not bad. Of course, Paul the Octopus correctly predicted the winner of eight out of eight World Cup matches, and he had no idea what the hell was going on.

Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 [US News]