Never-Wrong Model Shows President Obama Winning in 2012

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US President Barack Obama smiles during a press conference with Mexican President Felipe Calder?n March 3, 2011 in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC.  Obama said Thursday he has authorized the use of US military aircraft to move Egyptian refugees who have fled Libya to Tunisia. AFP PHOTO/Mandel NGAN (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images)
US President Barack Obama smiles during a press conference with Mexican President Felipe Calder?n March 3, 2011 in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC. Obama said Thursday he has authorized the use of US military aircraft to move Egyptian refugees who have fled Libya to Tunisia. AFP PHOTO/Mandel NGAN (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images) Photo: MAndel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

The consensus opinion on President Obama's reelection hopes is that if the economy continues to struggle through next November — which it's expected to — he'll have a tough time convincing voters he deserves another four years, especially since he'll almost definitely face Mitt "Private Business Experience" Romney or Rick "Every New Job Is in Texas" Perry. But according to American University professor Allan Lichtman's presidential election prediction model, which is only somewhat based on the economy, Obama is going to win. “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” Lichtman says. This model, by the way, has correctly guessed the winner of every presidential election since 1984. Seven out of seven — not bad. Of course, Paul the Octopus correctly predicted the winner of eight out of eight World Cup matches, and he had no idea what the hell was going on.

Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 [US News]