Poll: Romney Surges Past Santorum in Pennsylvania

By
Oh boy.Photo: Julie Denesha/Getty Images

Public Policy Polling just released some numbers that spell disaster for Rick Santorum. Foremost is that Romney has jumped Santorum in his home state of Pennsylvania, a primary that top Santorum campaign adviser John Brabender called "critical" today. According to the poll, Romney has taken the lead with 42 percent of the vote to 37 percent for Rick Santorum, 9 percent for Ron Paul, and 6 percent for Newt Gingrich.

But it's worse inside those numbers: There's been a 23-point shift in Pennsylvania over the last month, with Romney moving up seventeen points and Santorum down six; only 36 percent of Pennsylvania Republicans think Santorum has a realistic chance at winning the nomination; and Romney has gained 27 points with Evangelicals, 26 points with tea partiers, and 40 points with voters in the state identifying as "very conservative."

Santorum said today that the race is at halftime (he's probably pumping iron in a locker room somewhere getting splashed in the face with cold water)  but these numbers say, as our John Heilemann wrote today, it's game over.