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What BPro 2010 Says About the Mets

As Mets pitchers and catchers report to Port St. Lucie, and David Wright says the Mets are planning on winning the World Series, we take a look at what Baseball Prospectus 2010 has to say about this year's Mets. They're surprisingly bullish! There's a convincing piece by Will Carroll about how last year's injury woes were an unprecedented historical anomaly rather than a systemic problem, and the essay that starts off the Mets chapter says they "could easily compete for a playoff spot in 2010." As for individual players: Carlos Beltran has "a secret Hall of Fame career going on under our noses"; Jeff Francoeur will remain "an out machine"; fans should be a little worried about prospect Fernando Martinez; Daniel Murphy has no business as a first baseman; Josh Thole is a stud in the making; no one has any idea if David Wright will hit homers again; John Maine will be fine; and K-Rod is due for a major drop-off. Add all those up ... you know, it doesn't sound quite as bullish anymore.

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Photo: Christian Petersen/Getty Images