THE FEED
vision 2020
vision 2020
Much-Awaited Iowa Poll Shows Virtual Four-Way Tie
Sanders and Warren showed the most promising progress, while Mayor Pete has possibly lost some momentum, but it’s all fluid.

Bernie ascendant

CNN/Des Moines Register Iowa Dem poll (change from November):
Sanders 20 (+5)
Warren 17 (+1)
Buttigieg 16 (-9)
Biden 15 (n/c)

This will certainly create some drama as Pete plummets, Biden hits fourth in this poll, and Sanders takes the lead.

Less than a month away!
@NumbersMuncher
the one percent
the one percent
Americans Really Want to Raise Taxes on the Rich
But will the rich themselves get in the way?
impeachment
impeachment
What We Know About Trump’s Senate Impeachment Trial
Impeachment trial procedures are an amalgam of constitutional provisions, Senate rules, and ad hoc procedures controlled by Mitch McConnell’s GOP.

Bloomberg’s billions will be very useful for whomever the nominee is

Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s massive campaign apparatus and an army of some 500 staffers will march on through the general election in November even if he loses the Democratic nomination, campaign officials tell NBC News, shifting their efforts toward working to elect whoever the party selects to face President Donald Trump.


Bloomberg’s vast tech operation will also be redirected to help the eventual nominee, as Democrats struggle to compete with the vaunted digital operation built by Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale. Hawkfish, a digital company started by Bloomberg that’s carrying out his $100 million online ad campaign, will be retained through Election Day to help defeat President Donald Trump, the officials said.

the national interest
the national interest
Trump’s Rationale for Killing Soleimani Is Falling Apart
All the reasons to doubt the Trump administration is telling the truth.

Almost like the White House knows this is a terrible issue for them

New development in the Obamacare lawsuit: Trump’s DOJ asks the Supreme Court NOT to hear the case yet, saying that’d be “premature” as it bounces between lower courts.

If the Court agrees, the issue won’t be settled by the justices before the election.https://t.co/1JmLteRK2P
@sahilkapur
hey you you're finally awake
hey you you're finally awake
This Gamer Prank Is a Finely Layered Work of Art
When is a blue screen of death not really a blue screen of death?

And where’s the evidence for this?

Trump claims on Fox that Soleimani had been plotting attacks against four embassies, which appears to be more specific than what members of Congress were told. “I can reveal that I believe it would’ve been four embassies,” Trump said.
@mkraju
capitol beat
capitol beat
McConnell’s Senate Trial Rules: ‘No One Is Going to See Until We’re Underway’
The GOP leader has said that the blueprint will be the rules used for the Senate trial of Clinton. But he also might be modifying them.
politics
politics
Marianne Williamson Has Mindfully Dropped Out
The self-described “bitch for God” and vanquisher of dark psychic forces has ended her presidential campaign.
vision 2020
vision 2020
Steyer Gets Return on Ad Investment, Makes Des Moines Debate Stage
A big Steyer Surge in polling in Nevada and South Carolina commensurate with his big spending will get his rivals’ attention.
impeachment
impeachment
Pelosi Prepares for Presentation of Impeachment Articles As Early As Next Week
Looks like a trial could begin as soon as the week of January 20, unless Pelosi has another trick up her sleeve.

So long, Marianne

BREAKING: Marianne Williamson has suspended her campaign.#AMRstaff
@mitchellreports
iran
iran
GOP Congressman Says Democrats Are in “Love With Terrorists”
By Friday he took it back, tweeting: “I do not believe Democrats are in love with terrorists, and I apologize.”
the top line
the top line
Sad CEO Wants Tariffs That Hurt Other Businesses, Not His Own
He has his reasons for making the argument he does. But the wider context is important: Overall, tariffs create more losers than winners.
interesting times
interesting times
Andrew Sullivan: Donald Trump Is the War Crimes President
His embrace of rogue Navy SEAL Eddie Gallagher is part of a deeper, and very alarming, pattern.

Here we go

News: Speaker Pelosi sends letter to colleagues: “I have asked Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerry Nadler to be prepared to bring to the Floor next week a resolution to appoint managers and transmit articles of impeachment to the Senate.”
@costareports
the national interest
the national interest
Report: Trump Cited GOP Senate Impeachment Pressure As Reason to Kill Soleimani
You’re not supposed to use foreign policy that way.

The stock market continues to roar

Dow hits 29,000 for the first time ever
@JesseRodriguez
democratic primaries
democratic primaries
Does Amy Klobuchar Have a Shot?
Intelligencer staffers discuss whether the Minnesota senator, who has a strong case on “electability,” could surprise in Iowa and beyond.

A “steady as she goes” jobs report

December jobs day:
Payrolls +145k (slightly below consensus)
Unemployment unchanged at 3.5%
Revisions slightly negative (-4k to October; -10k for November).

All told: A report very much as expected, which shows that the economy is still motoring along.
@JustinWolfers

This changes everything

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti endorsed Joe Biden on Thursday, a boost for the former vice president in a critical Super Tuesday state.


The endorsement comes as Biden campaigns in California, a delegate-rich state where early voting will begin next month.


“Joe Biden is a close personal friend who has been an incredible partner in delivering progress for L.A.,” Garcetti said in a prepared statement, adding that the country needs “Joe Biden to bring our nation and world together during these most divided and dangerous times.”

Boeing is, of course, very sorry and “regret[s] the content of these communications”

Boeing employees mocked federal rules, talked about deceiving regulators and joked about potential flaws in the 737 Max as it was being developed, according to over a hundred pages of internal messages delivered Thursday to congressional investigators.


“I still haven’t been forgiven by God for the covering up I did last year,” one of the employees said in messages from 2018, apparently in reference to interactions with the Federal Aviation Administration.


The most damaging messages included conversations among Boeing pilots and other employees about software issues and other problems with flight simulators for the Max, a plane later involved in two accidents, in late 2018 and early 2019, that killed 346 people and threw the company into chaos.


The employees appear to discuss instances in which the company concealed such problems from the F.A.A. during the regulator’s certification of the simulators, which were used in the development of the Max, as well as in training for pilots who had not previously flown a 737.


“Would you put your family on a Max simulator trained aircraft? I wouldn’t,” one employee said to a colleague in another exchange from 2018, before the first crash. “No,” the colleague responded.


In another set of messages, employees questioned the design of the Max and even denigrated their own colleagues. “This airplane is designed by clowns, who are in turn supervised by monkeys,” an employee wrote in an exchange from 2017.


E. Jean Carroll’s defamation suit against Trump will proceed

President Donald Trump has lost a bid to block an advice columnist’s lawsuit over his remarks that she lied in accusing him of rape.

In a decision this week, a Manhattan judge declined to order a hearing on Trump’s request to dismiss E. Jean Carroll’s defamation suit and to put evidence-gathering on hold in the meantime.


A lawyer for Trump, Lawrence Rosen, had argued the New York court shouldn’t handle the case, saying that the president’s statements weren’t made in the state and that Trump currently lives in Washington, not New York, his longtime home.


Judge Doris Ling-Cohan said the argument wasn’t properly backed up.


“There is not even a tweet, much less an affadavit by defendant Trump in support,” Ling-Cohan wrote in a decision provided to lawyers in the case Thursday.

Trump hopes to mend his relationship with one of his favorite dictator pals

South Korea said Friday it conveyed a message by President Donald Trump to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un wishing him a happy birthday, which is believed to be Jan. 8.


Returning from a visit to Washington on Friday, Chung Eui-yong, South Korea’s presidential national security director, told reporters that Trump requested Seoul to deliver the message to Kim during a meeting at the White House this week.


Chung didn’t disclose what the message specifically said, but said Seoul sent it to Pyongyang on Thursday through “proper means.”

foreign interests
foreign interests
Avoiding Disaster Doesn’t Make Trump’s Iran Policy a Success
Trump’s efforts to bring Iran to heel and thwart its nuclear ambitions were failing even before he nearly started a catastrophic war.
trump rally
trump rally
Trump Complains About Not Winning Nobel Peace Prize Days After War Crime Threat
Other rally highlights included a claim that Dems would have “leaked” the Soleimani attack, and that M4A will cost “more money than we’ll ever make.”
iran
iran
House Votes To Order Trump To End Unauthorized Military Actions Against Iran
It’s a non-binding resolution passed on a near-party-line vote, but does reflect some congressional pushback against the imperial presidency.
vision 2020
vision 2020
Bernie Sanders Is Building a Youth Firewall
The democratic socialist has a clear edge with young voters.
art
art
A Few Suggestions for Andrew Cuomo’s Next Poster
The poster to commemorate his State of the State address is a good first draft, but it could use some improvements.
jeffrey epstein
jeffrey epstein
Video From the Night of Epstein’s First Suicide Attempt ‘Inadvertently’ Deleted
Prosecutors state that the MCC deleted the video outside Epstein’s cell on July 23, saving over it with footage from another tier of the prison.

Key word: “nonbinding”

WASHINGTON (AP) – House approves nonbinding measure to ‘terminate’ US military action against Iran without congressional approval.
@kylegriffin1
impeachment
impeachment
McConnell Says Trump Trial Could Begin Next Week, Pelosi Says Not So Fast
Once articles of impeachment are formally presented in the Senate, a trial begins right away.
republicans
republicans
Kansas Just Proved That a Better GOP Is Possible
Kansas GOPers used to worship Ayn Rand. Now they want their state’s Medicaid expansion to include more health-care subsidies than Democrats proposed.

This vote is creating strange bedfellows

Matt Gaetz, after saying he was at the burial of a soldier earlier today, and saying he supports Trump and the strike on Soleimani, announces he voting FOR the war powers resolution. Because Congress has the responsibility to vote on war.
@mmcauliff
ilhan omar
ilhan omar
Only U.S. Military Can Have PTSD, Representative Tells War Refugee
Ilhan Omar fled war-torn Somalia as a child and grew up in a Kenya refugee camp.
iran plane crash
iran plane crash
U.S. Officials Believe It’s ‘Likely’ Iran Shot Down Ukrainian Jet
Multiple reports suggest officials are confident that Iran accidentally shot down the jet, killing all 176 people onboard.
trump impeachment
trump impeachment
The Complete Guide to President Trump’s Impeachment
Everything you need to keep up with the Ukraine scandal and Trump’s impeachment, from analysis of key issues to daily hearing recaps.