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2017 Elections

  1. The Coming Democratic Wave May Be Smaller Than ExpectedThere are good signs for Republicans that show a Democratic “wave” is no longer certain, but in the end turnout patterns could matter most.
  2. Roy Moore Hasn’t Won Just YetMoore has improved his position since being hit with sexual-misconduct allegations, but African-American turnout for Doug Jones could be crucial.
  3. Clerical Error Puts Virginia’s House of Delegates in LimboRepublicans could still lose control or be forced into a power-sharing agreement.
  4. The Democrats Really Can Win the House in 2018There’s a long way to go, but Trump’s approval ratings, the generic ballot, and the 2017 results all point to huge blue gains.
  5. Tuesday’s Crushing Defeat Convinces Republicans They’re on the Right TrackIt’s one thing to stay the course despite electoral setbacks. It’s more dangerous to pretend electoral setbacks are actually mandates.
  6. Democrats Gain State Government ‘Trifectas’ in New Jersey and WashingtonIn what could be an appetizer for 2018, Democrats began chipping away at GOP dominance of state governments.
  7. The Most Interesting Races to Watch on Election Day 2017From the Virginia governor’s race to New York’s “Con Con” to Maine’s opportunity to expand Medicaid.
  8. The Democrats’ Losing Streak Will Likely End in NovemberThe party needs a win in a nationally significant and competitive contest. There is still hope this year.
  9. Trump Ultra Corey Stewart Throws Scare Into Conventional Republicans EverywhereWhat Dave Brat did for Tea Party insurgents in 2014, Corey Stewart may have done for Trump fans going into 2018: create a deep fear of primaries.
  10. British PM May Calls Snap Election to Consolidate Her PowerThe Tory leader saw a chance to increase her majority and strengthen her hand with her own party, with Europe, and with Scotland — and took it.
  11. Trump Will Help Democrats Solve Their ‘Midterm Falloff’ ProblemDemocrats turn out much more strongly in midterms when there is a GOP president, and the current GOP president should really energize them.
  12. Will Virginia Democrats Make the Gubernatorial Race a Referendum on Trump?One candidate is focusing on state issues while the other is linking his campaign to anti-Trump protests.
  13. Louisiana Runoff Begins the Post-Trump-Earthquake Political CalendarBeginning with a Senate runoff in Louisiana and then off-year state elections in 2017, we will soon see if there is any backlash to Trump’s election.