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Congressional Generic Ballot

  1. 2018 midterms
    Halloween Polling Update: Both Tricks and Treats for Democrats and RepublicansThere’s good news for Democrats in Kansas and Utah, and for Republicans in North Dakota and Tennessee.
  2. 2018 midterms
    Two Weeks Before Midterms, the Polls Are an Inkblot TestThere’s good news for Democrats, good news for Republicans, some fresh news from little-polled races, and some outliers, too.
  3. Trump Being Trump Seems to Make Him Less PopularThe GOP has an unusually acute problem in mobilizing a party base that glories in Trumpian outrages, without frightening the rest of the country.
  4. Blame-Game Lessons From the Last Government ShutdownResponsibility can be pinned on one party if there’s evidence to support it — but the effect may be ephemeral.
  5. Exactly How High Could That 2018 Democratic Wave Rise?Yes, Republicans have some institutional advantages in their efforts to hang onto the House. But they only help so much in a wave election.
  6. The Democratic Wave Is Coming in 2018This year’s special elections and a host of objective factors continue to point toward a good midterm for the Donkey Party.
  7. The Democrats Really Can Win the House in 2018There’s a long way to go, but Trump’s approval ratings, the generic ballot, and the 2017 results all point to huge blue gains.
  8. The Mess in Washington Could Soon Drive Republicans Into Rebellion Against TrumpIf the prospects of vulnerable 2018 GOP candidates get much worse, and the chaos in D.C. doesn’t improve, an anti-Trump rebellion is a possibility.
  9. Is That a Democratic Tsunami Taking Shape for 2018?More and more signs are cropping up suggesting a historic beatdown of the GOP in the next midterm election.