Displaying all articles tagged:

Five Thirty Eight

  1. 2018 midterms
    11 Tight Governor’s Races Will Shape America’s Political LandscapeDemocrats will probably make overall gains, but there are an amazing eleven gubernatorial elections that are tossups.
  2. 2018 midterms
    FiveThirtyEight’s Forecast Shows Very Tight Battle for the SenateNate Silver’s model gives Republicans a narrow advantage based on a very favorable landscape. But it could go either way.
  3. How to Interpret 2018 Polls Without Fooling YourselfThe first rule: “Don’t believe the hype.” The other rules are almost as simple.
  4. The Polls Are Swinging to the Democrats AgainThe 2018 Democratic wave: Now you see it, now you don’t, now you see it again.
  5. Polling Is Still Working, According to Nate SilverThere’s wide variance in the new pollster ratings, but the upshot is that polling is not broken (yet).
  6. Trump Thinks He’s Wildly PopularIn Trump’s world, any adverse information about his standing is “fake,” and even positive polls don’t capture his tremendous standing.
  7. The Coming Democratic Wave May Be Smaller Than ExpectedThere are good signs for Republicans that show a Democratic “wave” is no longer certain, but in the end turnout patterns could matter most.
  8. Nate Silver’s Forecast (Probably) Overstates Trump’s ChancesFiveThirtyEight isn’t “unskewing” polls. But the site’s forecasting model is based on assumptions that inflate Trump’s prospects.
  9. balls
    Data Journalism Says Tighty-Whities Are Bad for Balls Is this what Tom Brady means by deflated balls?
  10. Nate Silver Apologizes for Ferguson Arrest StoryMy anecdote was so minor as compared to Ferguson that last night wasn’t the right time for me to share.”
  11. Nate Silver’s Tone-Deaf Burrito Arrest StoryHow not to tweet during a national tragedy.
  12. wonk-stained wretches
    Ezra Klein on Vox’s Launch, Media Condescension, and Competing With WikipediaThe wonk king speaks in-depth about his new explanatory journalism site.
  13. Nate Silver Only Cares About Some of the HatersThe FiveThirtyEight founder explains which on The Daily Show.
  14. The All-New, Stat-Heavy FiveThirtyEight, by the NumbersNate Silver’s new mega-site is live. Time for first impressions!
  15. Nate Silver Interview: The New FiveThirtyEightThe site debuts on Monday, but the numbers whiz is only 75 percent ready.
  16. New Media Venture Spring Is Officially Upon Us The New York Times’ new data-driven project gets a name, and ESPN announces another use for Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
  17. The New FiveThirtyEight Launches Very SoonMarch 17.
  18. blog-stained wretches
    Times to Host FiveThirtyEight and Make Nate Silver Regular ContributorA victory for the little guy who is obsessed with numbers!
  19. Nate Silver and Jonathan Chait on Early Voting and the Latest Sarah Palin RumorFiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver and ‘The New Republic’ columnist Jonathan Chait discuss the latest Sarah Palin 2012 rumor, how much the African-American vote will matter, and why you should never underestimate the Republican base.