Displaying all articles tagged:
Generic Congressional Ballot
early and often
May 17, 2022
Generic Ballot Shows Republicans on Track to Retake House The reliable indicator shows Republicans with a modest but steady lead. If 2022 is anything like recent midterms, the House will flip for sure.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 congressional elections
July 30, 2019
Retirements May Hobble House Republicans Party officials are bracing for a wave of GOP members of Congress heading for the exits after the August recess, reducing chances to flip control.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
June 11, 2019
Why the House Probably Won’t Flip in 2020 The House bears watching because Democrats are holding a lot of districts Trump carried in 2016, but so far signs are good for Pelosi’s team.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Nov. 2, 2018
November Polling Update: On the Brink The Georgia gubernatorial barn burner gets hotter; there’s rare good news for Alaska Democrats; and Joe Manchin hasn’t won his race just yet.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Oct. 29, 2018
Polling Update: Every Day Brings Conflicting Evidence of Midterm Trends Eight days out and counting, Democrats remain on the cusp of a pretty solid midterm win — but it’s close.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Oct. 22, 2018
Dems Still Have a Good Shot at Flipping House, But Senate Is an Uphill Battle Fifteen days before the midterms, polls show the House going blue, but the GOP is likely to maintain Senate control, or even pick up a seat or two.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Oct. 16, 2018
Beware of Preelection Polling Spin The presentation of a CNBC poll shows how hazy data can be distorted into misleading indicators of where the election is headed.
By Ed Kilgore
These Trends Suggest the Democratic Midterm Wave Will Get Bigger In the past, the party controlling the White House found itself with a lot more vulnerable House seats than expected late in the cycle.
By Ed Kilgore
Democrats Looking Good Again on Key Midterm Polling Numbers After some pro-Republican trends in the late spring and early summer, the generic congressional ballot and Trump’s approval ratings are stabilizing.
By Ed Kilgore
Why How You Feel About Trump Trumps Parties or Issues in the Fall Midterms There are signs of unusually strong positive and negative sentiment toward the president, though the battleground remains tilted toward Democrats.
By Ed Kilgore
The Polls Are Swinging to the Democrats Again The 2018 Democratic wave: Now you see it, now you don’t, now you see it again.
By Ed Kilgore
Is the 2018 Democratic Wave Receding? The big picture still suggests a positive picture for Team Blue — but there are a lot of questions.
By Ed Kilgore
If Democrats Are So Strong, Why Is Their Polling Lead So Weak? More and more observers are noting that House polls for November aren’t showing the sort of Democratic margins we’ve seen in special elections.
By Ed Kilgore
The Coming Democratic Wave May Be Smaller Than Expected There are good signs for Republicans that show a Democratic “wave” is no longer certain, but in the end turnout patterns could matter most.
By Ed Kilgore
A New Poll Looks Mighty Grim for Democrats It’s just one poll, but GOP tax reform seems to be getting a lot more popular.
By Ed Kilgore
Paul Ryan Scoffs at Prospects of Losing His Gavel in 2018 Signs are growing that House Republicans, including some very senior members, could be in trouble next year.
By Ed Kilgore