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Polls

  1. vision 2020
    Heartland Progressive Sherrod Brown Won’t Run for President in 2020He was invisible in the polls, but Brown was widely thought to have potential as a progressive who appealed to white working-class voters.
  2. abortion
    The Big ‘Pro-Life’ Shift in a New Poll Is an IllusionPolls on abortion policy are often slippery, but there’s no evidence of a shift toward support for overturning Roe v. Wade.
  3. public opinion
    Voters Aren’t Moving Left on Taxes. Democrats Are Moving Toward Voters.Americans have always been eager to soak the rich. But public opinion doesn’t drive policy change in the U.S. — parties do.
  4. 2020 presidential election
    Kamala Harris’s 2020 Launch Creates Nice Polling BuzzThe Californian is off to a good initial start in what will be a tough 2020 contest.
  5. government shutdown
    Shutdown Pushes Trump’s Disapproval to All-Time High in Two PollsSeventy percent of voters say a border wall isn’t worth a shutdown. A supermajority backs Pelosi’s plan to reopen the government without wall funding.
  6. polls
    Poll: Majority Backs AOC’s 70 Percent Top Marginal Tax RateSome pundits deemed Ocasio-Cortez’s plans for soaking the rich “radical.” Forty-five percent of GOP voters say it sounds about right.
  7. 2020 elections
    Elizabeth Warren and the Democrats’ 2020 Electability DilemmaIn 2016 Democrats learned that polls can get an election wrong. But they won’t be able to resist maximizing their chances of beating Donald Trump.
  8. government shutdown
    Trump Is Losing the Shutdown Fight in a RoutTurns out, holding the government hostage to an unpopular policy goal is not a good way to expand one’s narrow base of support.
  9. 2020 elections
    In the Trump Era, Who Needs Moderates Anyway?Research shows running to the center didn’t help candidates in 2018. That could convince progressives that moderates have outlived their usefulness.
  10. the psephological arts
    The Polls Were Fine If Not Perfect in 2018Polls were more accurate than average and didn’t show any notable partisan lean, despite the sky-high turnout that surprised everybody.
  11. 2018 midterms
    Final 2018 Polls Look (Mostly) Good for DemocratsStill, polls remain tight in an extraordinary number of races — and everything from a “blue tsunami” to a “red tide” remains plausible.
  12. 2018 midterms
    Where All the Key Races Stand, 2 Days Before the MidtermsWhile Democrats are favored to win the House, the size of the blue wave remains unclear — and an unusual number of races remain too close to call.
  13. 2018 midterms
    November Polling Update: On the BrinkThe Georgia gubernatorial barn burner gets hotter; there’s rare good news for Alaska Democrats; and Joe Manchin hasn’t won his race just yet.
  14. 2018 midterms
    Halloween Polling Update: Both Tricks and Treats for Democrats and RepublicansThere’s good news for Democrats in Kansas and Utah, and for Republicans in North Dakota and Tennessee.
  15. 2018 midterms
    Steve King May Actually Pay a Price For Being a Blatant RacistIowa’s favorite white nationalist is losing campaign donors — and a new poll shows him statistically tied with a Democrat in his deep-red district.
  16. 2018 midterms
    Polling Update: Every Day Brings Conflicting Evidence of Midterm TrendsEight days out and counting, Democrats remain on the cusp of a pretty solid midterm win — but it’s close.
  17. 2018 midterms
    2018 Midterms: Latino Voters Are Tuning In — and Turning BlueRecent polls show a sudden spike in the number of Latinos who intend to vote this fall — and in the Democrats’ share of that demographic’s support.
  18. 2018 midterms
    Two Weeks Before Midterms, the Polls Are an Inkblot TestThere’s good news for Democrats, good news for Republicans, some fresh news from little-polled races, and some outliers, too.
  19. healthcare
    What Medicare for All’s Sky-High Poll Numbers Really ProveVoters aren’t necessarily sold on single-payer. But a supermajority of Americans (and a slim majority of GOPers) do want more government health care.
  20. millennials
    Millennials Know Their Facts Better Than Older AmericansA Pew Research survey finds that younger Americans are much better than their parents’ generation at distinguishing political facts from opinions.
  21. 2018 midterms
    Dems Still Have a Good Shot at Flipping House, But Senate Is an Uphill BattleFifteen days before the midterms, polls show the House going blue, but the GOP is likely to maintain Senate control, or even pick up a seat or two.
  22. 2018 midterms
    Beware of Preelection Polling SpinThe presentation of a CNBC poll shows how hazy data can be distorted into misleading indicators of where the election is headed.
  23. 2018 midterms
    Millennials Need to Start Voting Before the Gerontocracy Kills Us AllYoung voters are less racist, and better informed about climate change, than their elders are. But only 35 percent of them plan to vote this fall.
  24. brett kavanaugh
    Poll: Majority of Americans Say Kavanaugh Shouldn’t Be on the Supreme CourtAnd yet, Kavanaugh is still more popular than Donald Trump or the GOP agenda, and his confirmation might have helped Republicans politically.
  25. 2018 midterms
    This New Poll of Battleground House Districts Is Great News for DemocratsTeam Blue’s prospects of taking the House are looking up — even as its chances of winning the Senate have gone into sharp decline.
  26. polls
    Poll: The World Trusts Putin More Than Trump27 percent of those surveyed are confident Trump will do the right thing, while 30 percent trust the former KGB agent.
  27. the kavanaugh hearings
    Poll: Opposition to Kavanaugh Grows After Ford HearingBut among Republican voters, support for Trump’s Supreme Court pick is higher now than it was a week ago.
  28. 2018 midterms
    Beto O’Rourke’s Race Against Ted Cruz Is Officially a ‘Toss-up’After speaking to operatives in both parties, the Cook Political Report decided that the Texas Senate race is now a jump ball.
  29. 2018 midterms
    Poll: Democrats Lead Senate Races in Arizona and TennesseeIf Democrats can pull off an upset in the Volunteer State, their chances of taking the Senate improve dramatically.
  30. climate change
    Voters Are Ready for a Green New Deal. Are Democrats?America currently lacks the political will for radical action on climate change — but the American people don’t.
  31. 2018 elections
    Voters Hate Trump More Than They Like This EconomyTrump’s approval rating is falling, even as wages and consumer confidence rise. That suggests the economy won’t save Republicans in November.
  32. the kavanaugh hearings
    Most Americans Can’t Name a Supreme Court JusticeThis fact is crucial to a choice the Democrats made when deciding their strategy to oppose Kavanaugh
  33. polls
    MoviePass’s Garbage Summer Continues With Terrible User FeedbackIt’s been a rough couple of weeks.
  34. medicare for all
    New Poll Finds Majority of GOP Voters Support Medicare for AllIt isn’t politically risky for Democrats to campaign on Medicare for All. But actually implementing it will be a different story.
  35. 6 New Midterm Polls You’ll Want to SeeBarn-burners in Wisconsin and Texas, a GOP governor in trouble in Illinois, and other numbers from the campaign trail.
  36. supreme court
    Poll: Brett Kavanaugh Is the Most Unpopular Supreme Court Pick in DecadesA plurality of Americans want the Senate to reject Kavanaugh, with only 28 percent of women supporting his ascension to the high court.
  37. The Radical Labor Policy That Every Democrat Should Run OnForcing companies to give workers representation on company boards is wildly popular, requires no tax hikes, and would almost certainly raise wages.
  38. The Radical Left’s Agenda Is More Popular Than the Mainstream GOP’sNew polls show that voters support a job guarantee, baby bonds, a public option for the internet, and government production of generic drugs.
  39. Polls: GOP Voters Think Trump’s Putin Summit Went GreatA large majority of Democrats and independents thought it was bad for the president to side with the Kremlin over the FBI. But Republicans disagreed.
  40. Democrats Need an Unbreakable Presidential Candidate in 2020Forget “electability,” which is often hard to measure. Democrats should focus on uniting behind a 2020 candidate with no big weaknesses.
  41. Poll: Swing-District Voters See GOP As ‘More Corrupt’A survey of 48 Republican-held (but competitive) districts finds 54 percent of voters saying the GOP is “more corrupt” than the Democrats.
  42. Democrats Looking Good Again on Key Midterm Polling NumbersAfter some pro-Republican trends in the late spring and early summer, the generic congressional ballot and Trump’s approval ratings are stabilizing.
  43. Abolishing ICE Is About As Popular As Trump’s Immigration AgendaPolls show only 25 percent of voters want to “abolish ICE” — while only 12 percent agree with Trump’s decision to end DACA.
  44. How to Interpret 2018 Polls Without Fooling YourselfThe first rule: “Don’t believe the hype.” The other rules are almost as simple.
  45. Poll: Nearly 70 Percent of Voters Don’t Want Roe v. Wade OverturnedAs Republicans prepare to replace Kennedy with a more anti-abortion justice, a new poll shows overwhelming support for maintaining abortion rights.
  46. Will the Border Crisis Actually Affect Trump’s Popularity?So far the biggest week of outrage spurred by the Trump presidency doesn’t seem to be affecting his approval ratings.
  47. Trump Isn’t Very Popular in the Heartland States He Won in 2016It doesn’t look like Trump is going to be that powerful a positive factor for GOP Senate and House candidates in some key states he won in 2016.
  48. Polling Is Still Working, According to Nate SilverThere’s wide variance in the new pollster ratings, but the upshot is that polling is not broken (yet).
  49. Here’s Why Trump’s Approval Rating Has Gone UpAnd why his support is still weaker than it looks.
  50. Voters Who Like ‘Medicare for All’ May Not Support Single-PayerTruth is, single-payer is very different from Medicare, even if it borrows the Medicare “brand.”
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