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Polls

  1. 2018 midterms
    Final 2018 Polls Look (Mostly) Good for DemocratsStill, polls remain tight in an extraordinary number of races — and everything from a “blue tsunami” to a “red tide” remains plausible.
  2. 2018 midterms
    Where All the Key Races Stand, 2 Days Before the MidtermsWhile Democrats are favored to win the House, the size of the blue wave remains unclear — and an unusual number of races remain too close to call.
  3. 2018 midterms
    November Polling Update: On the BrinkThe Georgia gubernatorial barn burner gets hotter; there’s rare good news for Alaska Democrats; and Joe Manchin hasn’t won his race just yet.
  4. 2018 midterms
    Halloween Polling Update: Both Tricks and Treats for Democrats and RepublicansThere’s good news for Democrats in Kansas and Utah, and for Republicans in North Dakota and Tennessee.
  5. 2018 midterms
    Steve King May Actually Pay a Price For Being a Blatant RacistIowa’s favorite white nationalist is losing campaign donors — and a new poll shows him statistically tied with a Democrat in his deep-red district.
  6. 2018 midterms
    Polling Update: Every Day Brings Conflicting Evidence of Midterm TrendsEight days out and counting, Democrats remain on the cusp of a pretty solid midterm win — but it’s close.
  7. 2018 midterms
    2018 Midterms: Latino Voters Are Tuning In — and Turning BlueRecent polls show a sudden spike in the number of Latinos who intend to vote this fall — and in the Democrats’ share of that demographic’s support.
  8. 2018 midterms
    Two Weeks Before Midterms, the Polls Are an Inkblot TestThere’s good news for Democrats, good news for Republicans, some fresh news from little-polled races, and some outliers, too.
  9. healthcare
    What Medicare for All’s Sky-High Poll Numbers Really ProveVoters aren’t necessarily sold on single-payer. But a supermajority of Americans (and a slim majority of GOPers) do want more government health care.
  10. millennials
    Millennials Know Their Facts Better Than Older AmericansA Pew Research survey finds that younger Americans are much better than their parents’ generation at distinguishing political facts from opinions.
  11. 2018 midterms
    Dems Still Have a Good Shot at Flipping House, But Senate Is an Uphill BattleFifteen days before the midterms, polls show the House going blue, but the GOP is likely to maintain Senate control, or even pick up a seat or two.
  12. 2018 midterms
    Beware of Preelection Polling SpinThe presentation of a CNBC poll shows how hazy data can be distorted into misleading indicators of where the election is headed.
  13. 2018 midterms
    Millennials Need to Start Voting Before the Gerontocracy Kills Us AllYoung voters are less racist, and better informed about climate change, than their elders are. But only 35 percent of them plan to vote this fall.
  14. brett kavanaugh
    Poll: Majority of Americans Say Kavanaugh Shouldn’t Be on the Supreme CourtAnd yet, Kavanaugh is still more popular than Donald Trump or the GOP agenda, and his confirmation might have helped Republicans politically.
  15. 2018 midterms
    This New Poll of Battleground House Districts Is Great News for DemocratsTeam Blue’s prospects of taking the House are looking up — even as its chances of winning the Senate have gone into sharp decline.
  16. polls
    Poll: The World Trusts Putin More Than Trump27 percent of those surveyed are confident Trump will do the right thing, while 30 percent trust the former KGB agent.
  17. the kavanaugh hearings
    Poll: Opposition to Kavanaugh Grows After Ford HearingBut among Republican voters, support for Trump’s Supreme Court pick is higher now than it was a week ago.
  18. 2018 midterms
    Beto O’Rourke’s Race Against Ted Cruz Is Officially a ‘Toss-up’After speaking to operatives in both parties, the Cook Political Report decided that the Texas Senate race is now a jump ball.
  19. 2018 midterms
    Poll: Democrats Lead Senate Races in Arizona and TennesseeIf Democrats can pull off an upset in the Volunteer State, their chances of taking the Senate improve dramatically.
  20. climate change
    Voters Are Ready for a Green New Deal. Are Democrats?America currently lacks the political will for radical action on climate change — but the American people don’t.
  21. 2018 elections
    Voters Hate Trump More Than They Like This EconomyTrump’s approval rating is falling, even as wages and consumer confidence rise. That suggests the economy won’t save Republicans in November.
  22. the kavanaugh hearings
    Most Americans Can’t Name a Supreme Court JusticeThis fact is crucial to a choice the Democrats made when deciding their strategy to oppose Kavanaugh
  23. polls
    MoviePass’s Garbage Summer Continues With Terrible User FeedbackIt’s been a rough couple of weeks.
  24. New Poll Finds Majority of GOP Voters Support Medicare for AllIt isn’t politically risky for Democrats to campaign on Medicare for All. But actually implementing it will be a different story.
  25. 6 New Midterm Polls You’ll Want to SeeBarn-burners in Wisconsin and Texas, a GOP governor in trouble in Illinois, and other numbers from the campaign trail.
  26. Poll: Brett Kavanaugh Is the Most Unpopular Supreme Court Pick in DecadesA plurality of Americans want the Senate to reject Kavanaugh, with only 28 percent of women supporting his ascension to the high court.
  27. The Radical Labor Policy That Every Democrat Should Run OnForcing companies to give workers representation on company boards is wildly popular, requires no tax hikes, and would almost certainly raise wages.
  28. The Radical Left’s Agenda Is More Popular Than the Mainstream GOP’sNew polls show that voters support a job guarantee, baby bonds, a public option for the internet, and government production of generic drugs.
  29. Polls: GOP Voters Think Trump’s Putin Summit Went GreatA large majority of Democrats and independents thought it was bad for the president to side with the Kremlin over the FBI. But Republicans disagreed.
  30. Democrats Need an Unbreakable Presidential Candidate in 2020Forget “electability,” which is often hard to measure. Democrats should focus on uniting behind a 2020 candidate with no big weaknesses.
  31. Poll: Swing-District Voters See GOP As ‘More Corrupt’A survey of 48 Republican-held (but competitive) districts finds 54 percent of voters saying the GOP is “more corrupt” than the Democrats.
  32. Democrats Looking Good Again on Key Midterm Polling NumbersAfter some pro-Republican trends in the late spring and early summer, the generic congressional ballot and Trump’s approval ratings are stabilizing.
  33. Abolishing ICE Is About As Popular As Trump’s Immigration AgendaPolls show only 25 percent of voters want to “abolish ICE” — while only 12 percent agree with Trump’s decision to end DACA.
  34. How to Interpret 2018 Polls Without Fooling YourselfThe first rule: “Don’t believe the hype.” The other rules are almost as simple.
  35. Poll: Nearly 70 Percent of Voters Don’t Want Roe v. Wade OverturnedAs Republicans prepare to replace Kennedy with a more anti-abortion justice, a new poll shows overwhelming support for maintaining abortion rights.
  36. Will the Border Crisis Actually Affect Trump’s Popularity?So far the biggest week of outrage spurred by the Trump presidency doesn’t seem to be affecting his approval ratings.
  37. Trump Isn’t Very Popular in the Heartland States He Won in 2016It doesn’t look like Trump is going to be that powerful a positive factor for GOP Senate and House candidates in some key states he won in 2016.
  38. Polling Is Still Working, According to Nate SilverThere’s wide variance in the new pollster ratings, but the upshot is that polling is not broken (yet).
  39. Here’s Why Trump’s Approval Rating Has Gone UpAnd why his support is still weaker than it looks.
  40. Voters Who Like ‘Medicare for All’ May Not Support Single-PayerTruth is, single-payer is very different from Medicare, even if it borrows the Medicare “brand.”
  41. Is the 2018 Democratic Wave Receding?The big picture still suggests a positive picture for Team Blue — but there are a lot of questions.
  42. Polls: Democrats on Track to Flip 3 GOP Senate SeatsThat’s more than enough to take the chamber — if the Democrats’ red-state incumbents survive November.
  43. The Trump Tax Cuts Are Still Unpopular. That’s a Crisis for Conservatives.If the GOP can’t get Americans to enjoy the candy of its fiscal agenda, how will they ever get them to eat the vegetables?
  44. Comey Confirms That Hillary Clinton’s Inevitability Was Her UndoingLike many others, Comey bought into the overconfidence of a Clinton victory, but few had as much power to derail her campaign.
  45. Trump Thinks He’s Wildly PopularIn Trump’s world, any adverse information about his standing is “fake,” and even positive polls don’t capture his tremendous standing.
  46. Phil Bredesen and Democrats’ Long-Shot Effort to Win Back the SenateA new poll in Tennessee shows a Democrat with a solid lead in a bid to flip a GOP Senate seat.
  47. Why Are Trump’s Approval Ratings on the Rise?He’s more popular now than he was in December — even if that’s not saying much.
  48. Polls: After GOP Tax Bill Went Into Effect, It Became Less PopularTwo new surveys suggest that the Trump tax cuts won’t be the electoral boon that Republicans hoped they’d be.
  49. Poll: Trump Down 8 Points to Generic Democrat in 2020 RaceThe presidential election is only 972 days away.
  50. Democrat Looking Strong in Trump-Country Special Congressional ElectionConor Lamb’s not a long-shot candidate anymore, despite heavy GOP and Trump efforts on behalf of his opponent.
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