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Polls

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Why Bad Polls Get So Much Hype

Polling "outliers" represent random noise in the overall estimation of public opinion. But they're a bottomless crack pipe for hacks and other gabbers.

By Ed Kilgore

Everything Is Coming Up Trump

The Donald outperformed expectations on Tuesday, and now a new batch of state polls suggests he could clinch the nod before Cleveland without breaking a sweat.

By Eric Levitz