Displaying all articles tagged:

Polls

  1. you're fired
    Trump Campaign Fires Pollsters After Leak of Polls That Look Bad for TrumpA lesson in shooting the messenger.
  2. vision 2020
    Qualifiers for the First 2020 Democratic Primary Debates AnnouncedThe roster shows the number of candidates qualifying equaling the DNC’s cap of 20. Steve Bullock is unhappy with his exclusion.
  3. vision 2020
    Elizabeth Warren Edges Past Sanders in New 2020 PollsSanders still leads in the polling averages. But he also appears to have a lower ceiling of potential support than the Massachusetts senator.
  4. vision 2020
    Trump Can’t Stop Lying About His UnpopularityHis latest assault on unwelcome poll numbers — including data from his own campaign — shows he’s compelled to deny reality and make up his own.
  5. vision 2020
    Warren and Buttigieg Are Gaining Ground in IowaThe gold-standard Iowa Poll by Ann Selzer shows support for Biden and Sanders weakening, and two clear tiers emerging below them.
  6. vision 2020
    Is the DNC ‘Winnowing’ Potentially Strong 2020 Presidential Candidates?The party can’t make everyone happy, but yes, there have been some late bloomers who did well despite poor early polls.
  7. polls
    America’s Political Mood Is Now the ‘Most Liberal Ever Recorded’But the electorate’s liberal mood may be less significant than the leftward shift in the economic consensus among policy wonks.
  8. donald trump
    No, Obsessive Media Coverage of the Economy Wouldn’t Make Trump PopularA public opinion analyst explains that it’s not all about the economy, and media has to cover Trump’s non-economic antics anyway.
  9. vision 2020
    DNC Makes It Tougher to Qualify for Fall Presidential DebatesIf the 2020 presidential field hasn’t been “winnowed” by the fall, the DNC will take matters into its own hands.
  10. vision 2020
    Which Democratic Presidential Candidates Have Qualified for the First Debates?Twenty candidates have already made the cut, thanks to their standing in the polls or grassroots fundraising.
  11. abortion rights
    The Assault on Abortion Rights Is Tyranny of the MinorityMost GOP voters want Roe v. Wade upheld. And banning abortion in all circumstances is opposed by a majority of voters in every U.S. state.
  12. roe v. wade
    The GOP’s Assault on Abortion Rights Is Tyranny of the MinorityMost GOP voters want Roe v. Wade upheld. And banning abortion in all circumstances is opposed by a majority of voters in every U.S. state.
  13. vision 2020
    Is Trump Suddenly Becoming More Popular?The president hit his highest job-approval ratings in more than two years. Here’s what it means.
  14. vision 2020
    Obama-to-Trump Voters Are Cooling on the PresidentA new study finds only 66 percent of Obama-to-Trump voters approve of the president. Which means that Trump’s 2020 odds may be worse than they look.
  15. foreign interests
    Voters Want an ‘America First’ Foreign Policy (Just Not Trump’s)A majority wants to prioritize domestic spending over the military budget, and their own economic security over spreading democracy.
  16. vision 2020
    What Happens If More Than 20 Candidates Qualify for Democratic DebatesCandidates who don’t meet fundraising as well as polling thresholds could be cut from the debates entirely.
  17. vision 2020
    Get Ready for a Biden Swoon, Sooner or LaterCandidates who poll as well as Biden is right now often go on to win — but rarely without encountering serious bumps in the road.
  18. vision 2020
    The ‘Biden Bounce’ and Warren Surge Are Challenges for Bernie SandersSanders is in danger of losing his co-front-runner status as Biden gains strength, while Warren moves up on the left.
  19. vision 2020
    The Case for Thinking Joe Biden Can’t Be StoppedBiden’s lead in the polls is growing. His Establishment rivals are fading. And a news cycle about how he’s a handsy creeper didn’t even bruise him.
  20. vision 2020
    Why Trump Will Be an Underdog in the 2020 ElectionThere are a lot of moving parts in Election 2020, but at this point Trump remains a loudly growling underdog.
  21. vision 2020
    The Democrats’ Best Economic Message for 2020 Isn’t a MysteryIt’s the populism, stupid.
  22. impeachment
    Democratic Voter Support for Impeachment Cooling As Fight for It Heats UpDemocratic rank-and-file support for impeachment proceedings was higher last August than now, though that could change again.
  23. vision 2020
    Is Beto Losing His Mojo? Did Mayor Pete Steal It From Him?The two candidates are pursuing opposite strategies, with O’Rourke focusing on early-voting states, and Buttigieg soaking up national media attention.
  24. mueller time
    Mueller Report Failed to Move Trump’s Approval RatingsDespite Barr’s spin and the damaging evidence in the actual report, Trump remains an unpopular president — who could still win reelection.
  25. vision 2020
    Bernie Sanders Doesn’t Need 2016 Support Levels to Win Lots of DelegatesThe 15 percent minimum threshold for winning delegates will make it easier for front-runners like Sanders and Biden to hog them.
  26. vision 2020
    Joe Biden May Be Less Electable Than He LooksWhen voters are presented with negative information about both Biden and Trump, the Democrat’s advantage disappears, according to a new poll.
  27. fake polls
    Trump Touts 55 Percent Approval From Poll That Found 43 Percent ApprovalThat’ll teach him to listen to Lou Dobbs.
  28. kamala harris
    California Is a Golden Opportunity — and Challenge — for Kamala Harris in 2020Harris is running third behind Biden and Sanders in the latest poll of her home state, but she hopes to boost her standing with an earlier win.
  29. mueller time
    The Summary of the Mueller Report Hasn’t Helped Trump in PollingPossibly because those who cared most about Russia collusion allegations won’t ever support Trump, the Mueller report may change nothing.
  30. polls
    Polls: Mueller Probe’s Conclusions Leave Trump’s Approval Rating UnchangedA plurality of voters said that Mueller’s findings had actually left them with a “less favorable” opinion of Trump than they’d held previously.
  31. politics
    100-Person Poll: How Will the Trump Presidency End?We asked 100 New Yorkers (plus 14 pundits, journalists, academics, and activists) how they see the Trump administration ending.
  32. vision 2020
    Heartland Progressive Sherrod Brown Won’t Run for President in 2020He was invisible in the polls, but Brown was widely thought to have potential as a progressive who appealed to white working-class voters.
  33. abortion
    The Big ‘Pro-Life’ Shift in a New Poll Is an IllusionPolls on abortion policy are often slippery, but there’s no evidence of a shift toward support for overturning Roe v. Wade.
  34. public opinion
    Voters Aren’t Moving Left on Taxes. Democrats Are Moving Toward Voters.Americans have always been eager to soak the rich. But public opinion doesn’t drive policy change in the U.S. — parties do.
  35. 2020 presidential election
    Kamala Harris’s 2020 Launch Creates Nice Polling BuzzThe Californian is off to a good initial start in what will be a tough 2020 contest.
  36. government shutdown
    Shutdown Pushes Trump’s Disapproval to All-Time High in Two PollsSeventy percent of voters say a border wall isn’t worth a shutdown. A supermajority backs Pelosi’s plan to reopen the government without wall funding.
  37. polls
    Poll: Majority Backs AOC’s 70 Percent Top Marginal Tax RateSome pundits deemed Ocasio-Cortez’s plans for soaking the rich “radical.” Forty-five percent of GOP voters say it sounds about right.
  38. 2020 elections
    Elizabeth Warren and the Democrats’ 2020 Electability DilemmaIn 2016 Democrats learned that polls can get an election wrong. But they won’t be able to resist maximizing their chances of beating Donald Trump.
  39. government shutdown
    Trump Is Losing the Shutdown Fight in a RoutTurns out, holding the government hostage to an unpopular policy goal is not a good way to expand one’s narrow base of support.
  40. 2020 elections
    In the Trump Era, Who Needs Moderates Anyway?Research shows running to the center didn’t help candidates in 2018. That could convince progressives that moderates have outlived their usefulness.
  41. the psephological arts
    The Polls Were Fine If Not Perfect in 2018Polls were more accurate than average and didn’t show any notable partisan lean, despite the sky-high turnout that surprised everybody.
  42. 2018 midterms
    Final 2018 Polls Look (Mostly) Good for DemocratsStill, polls remain tight in an extraordinary number of races — and everything from a “blue tsunami” to a “red tide” remains plausible.
  43. 2018 midterms
    Where All the Key Races Stand, 2 Days Before the MidtermsWhile Democrats are favored to win the House, the size of the blue wave remains unclear — and an unusual number of races remain too close to call.
  44. 2018 midterms
    November Polling Update: On the BrinkThe Georgia gubernatorial barn burner gets hotter; there’s rare good news for Alaska Democrats; and Joe Manchin hasn’t won his race just yet.
  45. 2018 midterms
    Halloween Polling Update: Both Tricks and Treats for Democrats and RepublicansThere’s good news for Democrats in Kansas and Utah, and for Republicans in North Dakota and Tennessee.
  46. 2018 midterms
    Steve King May Actually Pay a Price For Being a Blatant RacistIowa’s favorite white nationalist is losing campaign donors — and a new poll shows him statistically tied with a Democrat in his deep-red district.
  47. 2018 midterms
    Polling Update: Every Day Brings Conflicting Evidence of Midterm TrendsEight days out and counting, Democrats remain on the cusp of a pretty solid midterm win — but it’s close.
  48. 2018 midterms
    2018 Midterms: Latino Voters Are Tuning In — and Turning BlueRecent polls show a sudden spike in the number of Latinos who intend to vote this fall — and in the Democrats’ share of that demographic’s support.
  49. 2018 midterms
    Two Weeks Before Midterms, the Polls Are an Inkblot TestThere’s good news for Democrats, good news for Republicans, some fresh news from little-polled races, and some outliers, too.
  50. healthcare
    What Medicare for All’s Sky-High Poll Numbers Really ProveVoters aren’t necessarily sold on single-payer. But a supermajority of Americans (and a slim majority of GOPers) do want more government health care.
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