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Swing Voters

  1. 2018 midterms
    Trump’s Base-Pandering May Be Hurting Republicans in Swing DistrictsIn suburban Republican-held districts won by Clinton, there just aren’t enough MAGA fans to overcome swing-voter disdain for Trump.
  2. White Non-Evangelical Working-Class Women Could Be 2018’s Key Swing VotersGender, class and religious outlook are pulling one swing voter category away from the GOP.
  3. Campaign on Taxes or Culture War? GOP, Trump Divided on Midterm MessageRepublicans are vulnerable in different kinds of districts, some where Trump’s rhetoric is attractive and others where it’s toxic.
  4. Trump Being Trump Seems to Make Him Less PopularThe GOP has an unusually acute problem in mobilizing a party base that glories in Trumpian outrages, without frightening the rest of the country.
  5. There May Not Be As Many ‘Trump Democrats’ As Previously ImaginedThe obsession with “Obama-Trump voters” showing the fatal Democratic weakness in 2016 may be based on imaginary party-switchers voting GOP as usual.