Displaying all articles tagged:
White Working Class Voters
Do Democrats Need to Get Less ‘Globalist?’ A new book argues that Democrats must embrace economic nationalism to win back the working class.
By Eric Levitz
vision 2020
June 30, 2021
New Data Shows How Biden Won, Where Trump Gained in 2020 A Pew analysis shows that Biden’s suburban boom was real, the gender gap shrank, and Trump’s boost among Latinos was larger than previously known.
By Ed Kilgore
2022 midterms
June 22, 2021
Will Young and Minority Voters Save Democrats in 2022? With or without some help from Donald Trump, Democrats need to keep the voters who surged to the polls in 2018 and 2020 engaged.
By Ed Kilgore
The Future Could Actually Be Bright for Republicans The GOP comeback will likely begin with retaking the House in 2022, then probably the Senate, and maybe the presidency.
By Ed Kilgore
republican party
Apr. 7, 2021
Why Republicans Think They Can Regain Power Without Repudiating Trumpism From the midterm precedents to the belief that Trump expanded the GOP’s reach, Republicans have a host of reasons to be complacent.
By Ed Kilgore
covid-19 stimulus
Mar. 6, 2021
The COVID-19 Stimulus Bill Can Help Biden Transform Politics Some white working-class voters just want to see that government works for them, too. The relief bill could bring them back to the Democratic Party.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Nov. 10, 2020
Should We Stop Paying Attention to Election Polls? Polls are like democracy: bad except as compared to all the alternatives.
By Ed Kilgore
Debate Focus Group: White Working Class Men Sour on Trump Everyone was lukewarm on both candidates, and that’s a big change for the president’s supposedly impregnable base.
By Sarah Jones
vision 2020
Sept. 9, 2020
Is the Rust Belt or the Sun Belt the Key Battleground Region in 2020? Less than two months from Election Day, the pivotal region for the campaigns to focus on is the same one that won it all for Trump in 2016.
By Ed Kilgore
No One Group of Voters Will Determine Trump’s Fate Winning or losing a voter group is often less important than the margins, where a vote’s a vote–except in the Electoral College.
By Ed Kilgore
No, Donald Trump Is Not a Working-Class Hero Salena Zito argues that Trump is the sole reliable friend of people who make things with their hands. Unions would disagree.
By Ed Kilgore
Why Americans Don’t Vote Their Class Anymore Declining unions — and rising educational attainment — have left college-educated whites more left wing than non-college-educated ones.
By Eric Levitz
democratic primaries
Mar. 17, 2020
Another Sweep for Joe Biden in Florida, Illinois, and Arizona Biden wins decisively in three diverse states, with a possible primary drought approaching.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Mar. 10, 2020
How Bernie Lost Michigan Sanders fell short of his 2016 performance in this crucial state in no small part by losing the white working-class voters he won against Clinton.
By Ed Kilgore
Michigan Could Be Bernie’s Waterloo In the state where he upset Clinton in 2016 by appealing to white working-class voters tired of trade deals, losing to Biden could be significant.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Dec. 11, 2019
Can Democrats Overthrow the Tyranny of Swing Voters? Sacrificing party principles to their demands can be self-defeating.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Nov. 26, 2019
There’s Still No Clear Case for Bloomberg’s Electability One scenario has a Democratic Party panicking and nominating a billionaire they don’t particularly like who isn’t particularly electable.
By Ed Kilgore
donald trump
July 17, 2019
Trump’s ‘Love It Or Leave It’ Jingoism Was Predictable All Along Ross Douthat’s suggestion that Trump perverted an initially healthy skepticism about American virtue misses the authoritarian impulses he represents.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
July 15, 2019
Why High Turnout May Not Help Democrats in 2020 Democrats need a backup plan in case turning the presidential election into a polarized frenzy drives untapped Trump voters to the polls, too.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
July 14, 2019
The Case for Biden’s ‘Electability’ Fades Under Scrutiny The more you examine the reasons Democrats desperate to beat Trump think Biden’s the one, the more fragile the arguments look.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Apr. 29, 2019
Democrats Don’t Have to Choose Between Base and Swing Voters Those who oppose paying some attention to white working-class voters are asking the party to make a false choice.
By Ed Kilgore
what the right is reading
Mar. 1, 2019
A Different Way to Think About White Identity Politics Right-wing populism is on the rise. A new book argues this dangerous political force can be tamed by finding healthy outlets for some of its impulses.
By Park MacDougald
2020 elections
Dec. 27, 2018
6 Reasons Bernie Sanders Has Lost His 2016 Mojo Sanders isn’t as unique as he was in 2016, but he is four years older and can’t get away with any mistakes.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Dec. 13, 2018
Does Donald Trump Have a Reelection Strategy? Trump seems incapable of “pivoting to the center” or becoming more popular. So either he’ll wing it, or focus on demonizing his opponent.
By Ed Kilgore
the psephological arts
Nov. 22, 2018
The Polls Were Fine If Not Perfect in 2018 Polls were more accurate than average and didn’t show any notable partisan lean, despite the sky-high turnout that surprised everybody.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Nov. 7, 2018
2014’s Electorate Showed Up to the 2018 Election. But It Voted Differently. Exit polls from the pro-Republican 2014 and pro-Democratic 2018 elections show similarly shaped electorates, but a change in public opinion.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Nov. 3, 2018
The Toxic Cycle That Keeps Republicans Focused on Culture War Trump’s staunching his party’s losses by revving up its culture-obsessed base. That will make this strategy even more central in the future.
By Ed Kilgore