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In a marathon coronavirus press conference on Tuesday, one estimate rang through the misinformation: The White House projects that between 100,000 and 240,000 Americans could die from COVID-19. Though White House Coronavirus Task Force coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx hedged the assessment, saying, โWe really believe we can do a lot better than that,โ President Trump offered a more solemn prediction: โThis could be hell of a bad two weeks.โ
The projection is consistent with one provided on Sunday by National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease director Anthony Fauci, who estimated that up to 200,000 Americans could die from the pandemic. Fauci, too, was eager to emphasize that extended social distancing measures could help bring that number down. โWe are continuing to see things go up,โ Fauci said of the โsoberingโ estimate on Tuesday. โWe cannot be discouraged by that because the mitigation is actually working and will work.โ
According to a report from the Washington Post, the deadly estimates โ together with an understanding that mass casualties would be bad for his reelection prospects โ helped convince the president over the weekend not to reopen the economy by Easter. But in Tuesdayโs press conference, Trump portrayed himself as a clear backer for extended social distancing, not the loudest voice for bringing American life back to normal in early April. He said โa lot of peopleโ told him to โride it out. Donโt do anything, just ride it out and think of it as the flu.โ But itโs not the flu. Itโs vicious.โ (A little over a month ago, Trump told Americans to โview this the same as the flu.โ)
While Trump appears to be over his phase of belittling the crisis, his new argument posits that 100,000 deaths โ almost as many as the country suffered in World War I โ would be a tremendous victory, without mentioning that the loss of life was in part multiplied by his own failure to act early on in the crisis. By Tuesday morning, more Americans had died from the coronavirus than battlefield deaths in Afghanistan. By Wednesday night, the number is expected to pass the American death count in Iraq.
