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2012 Presidential Election

  1. politics
    Never Mind the Facts. Trump Fans Feel Like a MajorityWhen you’ve been convinced polls are fake and actual elections are rigged, it is easy to confuse visible signs of enthusiasm as a ticket to power.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. marjorie taylor greene
    Why Is Marjorie Taylor Greene Headed to the Cradle of Presidential Campaigns?Does the conspiracist Georgia congresswoman see herself running for president? It’s unclear what else she could be doing at the Iowa State Fair.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. 2021 elections
    Virginia Is in for a Close, Expensive Governor’s RaceTerry McAuliffe has an edge, as Virginia has been trending blue. But the “businessman outsider” Glenn Youngkin has the money to keep it tight.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. extremism
    Is Trump Going to Fade Like Sarah Palin?The good news is that he could lose his audience. The bad news is that it would take someone even more terrifying to come along.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. vision 2020
    Yes, Geographical Polarization Was a Big Deal in 2016 and 2020New data shows that the suburban swings to the left and rural swings to the right are consistent with the intuitive trends in the last two elections.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. politics
    History Suggests Democratic Trifecta Could Be Short-LivedAs Democrats officially take control of the Senate, they’d be wise to move fast: Republicans shattered their last two trifectas in just two years.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. poll position
    50 Days Out, Biden Doing Better in Polls Than Clinton, Obama, or KerryThe only candidate to overcome as big a disadvantage as Trump faces now is Obama in 2008, and all hell broke loose that fall.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. vision 2020
    Does Labor Day Mark the Beginning of the Real Presidential Race?Legend aside, most presidential races are largely decided before Labor Day, with partisan polarization and early voting contributing to that reality.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. obituaries
    RIP Herman Cain, Pizza Magnate and Proto-TrumpCain was a viable 2012 presidential candidate until sexual-misconduct allegations brought him down fast.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. vision 2020
    There’s Only One Way the ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ Matters“Enthusiasm” for a presidential general election candidate is usually exaggerated and often unimportant.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. vision 2020
    Yes, Trump’s Job-Approval Ratings Are Finally RisingIt’s unclear whether it’s real and will last, but it’s happening at the perfect time for Trump.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. politics
    Scott Brown and a Perilous Decade For ProgressivismIn January 2010 all the excitement associated with Obama’s election began to dissipate after a special election in Massachusetts.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. vision 2020
    Voter Enthusiasm For 2020 Is Off the Charts – Especially For Trump FansYes, voter turnout in 2020 could be historic. But Democrats shouldn’t assume the enthusiasm is all in their own ranks.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. campaigns
    Polls Aren’t Perfect, But They’re More Accurate Than Lawn Signs and Crowd SizeWhen you read or hear a political journalist make election predictions based on crowd sizes or other anecdotal information, reach for your skepticism.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. what if?
    What If Obama Had Dropped Biden in 2012?Changing things up in 2012 might have helped Democrats avoid the contentious nomination fights of 2016 and 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. vision 2020
    Is Joe Biden the Democrats’ Version of Mitt Romney?The comparison is tempting, but misleading.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. federal reserve
    Trump Finally Pulls Plug on Cain for FedCain pushed back against Senate hostility to his Fed ambitions, but his baggage proved to be all too much.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. Obama Aides Strike Back at Chicago Democrat Who Didn’t Stand With POTUSThey spoke out against Dan Lipinski, who’s facing a tough primary, after a mailer tried to link him to the 44th president.
    By Ed Kilgore