Displaying all articles tagged:

2016 Presidential Election

  1. vision 2020
    I Love Hillary Clinton — But She Should Stay Far, Far Away From Biden’s CampaignClinton should have a role in a Biden administration if she wants one. But proximity to his campaign can only hurt him.
  2. vision 2020
    5 Reasons Pundits Will Overestimate Trump’s Odds of Winning in NovemberNobody wants to experience Trump gloating at their expense twice in a row.
  3. vision 2020
    Will Trump Allow the Coronavirus to Ravage Blue America?The urban–nonurban divide characterizes the coronavirus response and economic crises to a dangerous degree.
  4. vision 2020
    Trump’s Once-Rosy Reelection Prospects Are Darkening RapidlyWithout a booming economy to claim, Trump’s mediocre job-approval ratings are likely to be a ceiling, rather than a floor, on his support.
  5. vision 2020
    A Black Politician’s Trump Endorsement Raises Eyebrows But Won’t Move VotesAside from the occasional endorsement from random black politicians, there’s no real evidence that Trump’s appeal to black voters has improved much.
  6. vision 2020
    The Wisconsin Results Should Worry Republicans EverywhereDemocrats’ judicial landslide, despite Republican voter suppression, is another sign all the anticipatory gloating of Trump supporters was premature.
  7. vision 2020
    It’s the Last Campaign for Biden and SandersReconciliation should be easier in 2020, since unlike Clinton and Sanders in 2016, the survivors don’t need to anticipate battles down the road.
  8. vision 2020
    Biden’s Hidden Advantage Against TrumpThe president did well in 2016 among voters who disliked both major-party candidates. That’s very unlikely to happen again.
  9. vision 2020
    Odds of a Contested November Election Are on the RiseIf COVID-19 continues to overshadow the general election, it could be held under circumstances where one party or the other won’t accept the results.
  10. vision 2020
    The Meaning of Biden’s Promise to Choose a Woman Running MateIn one sense it’s a consolation prize. In another, a meaningful sign of progress in the Democratic party.
  11. vision 2020
    Bernie, Joe More Popular With Democrats Than Trump Was With Republicans in ’16Democrats may find it easier to unite than Republicans did four years ago.
  12. vision 2020
    Debate Infighting Won’t Kill Democrats’ Chances in NovemberUntil Democrats argue about their genitals, there’s a long way down to the behavior Republicans modeled before winning everything in 2016.
  13. impeachment
    What We Learned on Day Five of the Trump Impeachment TrialTeam Trump took just two hours to preview their case, which mostly revolves around the claim that House Democrats have no real evidence.
  14. vision 2020
    Tulsi Gabbard Unlikely to Win Her Defamation Lawsuit Against Hillary ClintonIt’s tough to win this kind of case against a public official, but Gabbard probably cares more about the publicity.
  15. 2016 presidential election
    Hillary Clinton Won’t Commit to Endorsing Sanders If He Wins Nomination“Nobody likes him, nobody wants to work with him, he got nothing done,” Clinton said of her 2016 rival.
  16. vision 2020
    The Sexist Myth Behind the Sanders-Warren SpatMany Democrats fear, despite a lack of evidence, that a woman can’t win the presidency. They need to reject this misogynist Trumpian assumption.
  17. vision 2020
    Democrats Still Have Multiple Routes to 2020 Electoral College WinIt’s not necessarily all about the Rust Belt.
  18. politics
    Scott Brown and a Perilous Decade For ProgressivismIn January 2010 all the excitement associated with Obama’s election began to dissipate after a special election in Massachusetts.
  19. russia investigation
    Inspector General Finds Russia Investigation Wasn’t an FBI Witch HuntYes, Michael Horowitz says mistakes were made in pursuing a wiretap on Carter Page, but no political bias in investigating the Trump campaign.
  20. democratic primaries
    Maybe the ‘Obama Coalition’ Was Just That: Obama’sEvery Democratic candidate once seen as a potential heir apparent to Obama’s base is either floundering or out of the race.
  21. vision 2020
    Could Pete Buttigieg Actually Become President?Mayor Pete’s minority voter problem is still a big obstacle to his “nominatability.” But as the nominee he could be the un-Trump.
  22. vision 2020
    Black Turnout Could Make or Break Democrats in 2020Democrats need high black turnout if they want to oust Trump. Putting Stacey Abrams on the ticket might be the best available strategy.
  23. elections of 2019
    Bevin Concedes After Republicans Decline to Help Him Steal the ElectionThis could be a useful precedent for Republicans whose president has given reason to fear he might not accept 2020 defeat.
  24. vision 2020
    Three Years Later, Trump Has Lost the Element of SurpriseMemories of the shock of Election Night 2016 could become a strategic asset for Democrats, who sure won’t get over-confident in 2020.
  25. vision 2020
    Maybe Democrats Should Remain on the Defensive in 2020The Trump Era may call for a more proactive agenda, but the Trump campaign is all in on all the old attack lines — and Democrats need to be ready.
  26. vision 2020
    Clinton 2020? Say It Ain’t So, Hillary!Only Hillary Clinton can scotch the talk about this right-wing fantasy.
  27. vision 2020
    Voter Enthusiasm For 2020 Is Off the Charts – Especially For Trump FansYes, voter turnout in 2020 could be historic. But Democrats shouldn’t assume the enthusiasm is all in their own ranks.
  28. impeachment
    Kasich Comes Out for Trump ImpeachmentThe former governor and 2016 candidate, like Mitt Romney, used to be a classic hardcore conservative. The GOP has changed a lot.
  29. vision 2020
    Trump Believes He Has a Mandate for TyrannyGiven the vast powers Trump thinks voters gave him in 2016, what will he be like if he wins reelection? The mind reels.
  30. vision 2020
    Late-Entry Third-Party Threats Haunt DemocratsThe sudden talk about centrist billionaires and “Russian assets” entering the 2020 sweepstakes reflects Democratic nightmares and rivalries.
  31. impeachment
    Somebody Explain to Trump That ‘Traitors’ Schiff and Pelosi Cannot Be ImpeachedTrump’s rage toward those pursuing his impeachment follows his M.O. of accusing his accusers of whatever he’s done, even if it’s unconstitutional.
  32. vision 2020
    Trump Relies on Maduro-Bashing to Win Florida Next YearTrump’s attacks on Maduro are key to winning Florida’s Latino immigrants and boosting his advantage among Cuban-Americans despite his other policies.
  33. conspiracy theories
    McCarthy Still Repeating Bogus Conspiracy Theories About Midterm-Election TheftHouse GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy is still whitewashing his party’s terrible performance in his home state with lurid tales unsupported by evidence.
  34. vision 2020
    How Swing Voters Are Thinking About 2020For many swing voters, the choice isn’t between major parties, but between voting and staying home. Convincing them voting matters could be crucial.
  35. vision 2020
    How the Trump Campaign Is Taking a Cue From Hillary ClintonThe Trump team is taking a cue from Clinton’s 2016 campaign as it looks toward 2020.
  36. donald trump
    What If Trump Supporters Love Chaos as Much as He Does?There’s new evidence that a significant number of Trump supporters love the man precisely for his destructive, nihilistic, and mendacious ways.
  37. what if?
    What If Obama Had Dropped Biden in 2012?Changing things up in 2012 might have helped Democrats avoid the contentious nomination fights of 2016 and 2020.
  38. electoral college
    No, Joni Ernst, Iowans Don’t Need the Electoral College to Influence PresidentsIt’s funny that the senator for the first-in-the-nation-caucus state thinks nobody would pay attention to Iowa if not for its six electoral votes.
  39. vision 2020
    Elizabeth Warren’s Struggle to Draw Black Voters Is a Big ProblemShe’s working to expand beyond her progressive, “wine-track” base, but still trails Biden, Harris, and Sanders among black Democrats.
  40. #metoo
    How Would We Deal With Bill Clinton If Hillary Had Won?On the 42nd president’s 73rd birthday, he’s probably chafing at being forgotten, but as First Gentlemen, he could have been experiencing a nightmare.
  41. vision 2020
    Trump’s Misogynistic Triumph: Democrats Are Afraid to Nominate a WomanDemocrats’ assumption that swing voters share Trump’s misogyny has led them to sexist thinking about “electability.”
  42. vision 2020
    Primary Voters Are Focused on Beating Trump, So the Candidates Are, TooYes, Democratic presidential candidates are talking a lot about Trump. But that’s mostly because they are auditioning to take him down.
  43. vision 2020
    Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of HimTranslating Trump’s standing in the 50 states to the 2020 electoral college vote currently shows the incumbent getting trounced.
  44. orange county
    Republicans Are Now Outnumbered in Conservative Bastion of Orange CountyRonald Reagan once called Orange County, California, “where all good Republicans go to die.” Now demographics and Trump are turning it blue.
  45. vision 2020
    The Scary Proposition That Trump Is Gradually Becoming More PopularYes, Trump is fairly close to his highest job approval numbers, but there’s no real evidence he’s about to bust through his ceiling.
  46. vision 2020
    Will the Greens and Libertarians Affect the 2020 Election?Fears about third-party candidates persist, but it’s doubtful that they gave Trump the win, and we can expect fewer “protest” votes in 2020.
  47. republicans
    Why Trump’s Takeover of the GOP Doesn’t Mirror Goldwater’sTrump won. Goldwater never had a chance.
  48. past is prologue
    Four Years Ago Today, the Trump Circus Came to Town — and Never LeftDonald Trump’s first Republican-debate appearance set the low standard he has maintained ever since.
  49. vision 2020
    Trump Outperformed His Polling in 2016. Will He Again in 2020?He won as the most unpopular major-party nominee in memory. But he benefited from a desire for change that won’t favor him in 2020.
  50. vision 2020
    Maybe Economic Prosperity Isn’t Trump’s Best Friend After AllFresh evidence from 2018 suggests people experiencing a stronger economy may lean Democratic, which could be why Trump is doubling down on racism.
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