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Battleground States

  1. vision 2020
    In 2020, the Electoral Landscape Continued to ShiftWho would have guessed Alaska would be more competitive than Virginia?
  2. vision 2020
    Trump Is Running Out of Time to Change These 8 Election X-FactorsExamining the remaining variables, the president is in serious trouble just two weeks ahead of his date with reelection fate.
  3. poll position
    Biden Takes Double-Digit Polling Lead As Clock Ticks for TrumpIn the presidential races as in the Senate, Democrats don’t have a lock on victory but have many paths to get there.
  4. voting by mail
    What’s the Deadline for Mail-In Ballots?With an expected pandemic-induced spike in mail-in ballots, the stakes are unusually high for election-rules litigation.
  5. vision 2020
    Presidential Battleground States Change All the TimeOhio, Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia are recent battlegrounds that are no longer very competitive, while Florida and Wisconsin remain critical in 2020.
  6. vision 2020
    Trump Is Now the 2020 UnderdogThe incumbent’s path to reelection is decidedly narrowing.
  7. vision 2020
    Why Biden Needs to Win BigGiven Trump’s Electoral College advantage and the need to win Senate races, Biden must have as big a national popular vote lead as he can get.
  8. vision 2020
    No One Group of Voters Will Determine Trump’s FateWinning or losing a voter group is often less important than the margins, where a vote’s a vote–except in the Electoral College.
  9. vision 2020
    We May Not Know Who Wins the Presidency on Election DayMost battleground states are going to have a lot of voting by mail, and those ballots just take longer to count.
  10. early and often
    Poll: Trump Embarrasses More Than 60 Percent of Voters in 3 Crucial StatesTrump’s response to Charlottesville doesn’t seem to have gone over so well in the three states that narrowly handed him last year’s election.
  11. Trump’s Loss of Support Is Where He Can Least Afford ItAn analysis of approval data shows Trump struggling with college-educated white voters, and even with his blue-collar “base,” in battleground states.
  12. 7 Big Questions on the Final Day of This CampaignClinton is still favored in the polls, Trump has a tough path to victory in the states, but there’s enough uncertainty to keep us awake on November 8.
  13. Why Blue States Are the New BattlegroundsAfter Trump audaciously began campaigning and advertising in states long thought to be a “lock” for his opponent, Clinton is responding.
  14. What the Early-Voting Numbers Are Telling UsDemocrats are doing well in early voting in Florida, Nevada, and North Carolina, and not so well in Iowa and Ohio — but there’s plenty of time left.
  15. early and often
    Clinton Maintains Lead in Two New Polls, But Trump Tape Impact Is MixedTrump’s Access Hollywood tape may not have been a decisive blow, but the polls don’t yet reflect the recent accusations of sexual harassment either.
  16. The Battle to Turn Out Early Voters Has Begun. One Candidate Has a Plan.In the chess game of voter targeting and mobilization, Clinton has strategic flexibility, but will Trump will benefit from state GOP efforts?
  17. Education Gap Among White Voters Could Remake the Battlefield MapClinton’s strength among college-educated white voters and Trump’s strength in the white working class could move some states around on the presidential battlefield map. 
  18. Change Is a Constant, Even on the Electoral MapWhen it comes to battleground states, Pennsylvania may be the new Virginia, just as Virginia became the new Ohio.
  19. battleground states
    Long-Term Unemployment Benefits Ending Early in Some Battleground StatesNinety-nine weeks of unemployment is a thing of the past.
  20. early and often
    ‘WSJ’/Quinnipiac Poll: Obama Leads McCain in Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and ColoradoAnd suddenly, McCain begins to play the underdog role that Obama himself performed so well in the primary.