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Enthusiasm

  1. vision 2020
    There’s Only One Way the ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ Matters“Enthusiasm” for a presidential general election candidate is usually exaggerated and often unimportant.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. vision 2020
    5 Reasons Pundits Will Overestimate Trump’s Odds of Winning in NovemberNobody wants to experience Trump gloating at their expense twice in a row.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. impeachment
    Pelosi’s Impeachment Strategy May Leave All Democrats UnsatisfiedHouse Democrats’ effort to satisfy all factions of their party may wind up disappointing everyone – and further rallying the GOP behind Trump.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. vision 2020
    Three Years Later, Trump Has Lost the Element of SurpriseMemories of the shock of Election Night 2016 could become a strategic asset for Democrats, who sure won’t get over-confident in 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. 2018 midterms
    Will the Kavanaugh Fight Affect the Midterms?All the noise about Kavanaugh could encourage the older white voters who usually vote in midterms to show up, but Democratic enthusiasm remains high.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. 2018 midterms
    Lessons From the 2018 Primary SeasonThings look good for Democrats as the primaries end, but there remain a lot of tossup races.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. Democratic Wave May Depend on Millennials Becoming Unusually Motivated to VoteMidterm elections usually show a major dropoff in turnout from young voters. If that happens this fall, the Democratic “wave” could be minimized.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. The Coming Democratic Wave May Be Smaller Than ExpectedThere are good signs for Republicans that show a Democratic “wave” is no longer certain, but in the end turnout patterns could matter most.
    By Ed Kilgore