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Generic Congressional Ballot

  1. early and often
    Generic Ballot Shows Republicans on Track to Retake HouseThe reliable indicator shows Republicans with a modest but steady lead. If 2022 is anything like recent midterms, the House will flip for sure.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. 2020 congressional elections
    Retirements May Hobble House RepublicansParty officials are bracing for a wave of GOP members of Congress heading for the exits after the August recess, reducing chances to flip control.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. vision 2020
    Why the House Probably Won’t Flip in 2020The House bears watching because Democrats are holding a lot of districts Trump carried in 2016, but so far signs are good for Pelosi’s team.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. 2018 midterms
    November Polling Update: On the BrinkThe Georgia gubernatorial barn burner gets hotter; there’s rare good news for Alaska Democrats; and Joe Manchin hasn’t won his race just yet.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. 2018 midterms
    Polling Update: Every Day Brings Conflicting Evidence of Midterm TrendsEight days out and counting, Democrats remain on the cusp of a pretty solid midterm win — but it’s close.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. 2018 midterms
    Dems Still Have a Good Shot at Flipping House, But Senate Is an Uphill BattleFifteen days before the midterms, polls show the House going blue, but the GOP is likely to maintain Senate control, or even pick up a seat or two.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. 2018 midterms
    Beware of Preelection Polling SpinThe presentation of a CNBC poll shows how hazy data can be distorted into misleading indicators of where the election is headed.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. These Trends Suggest the Democratic Midterm Wave Will Get BiggerIn the past, the party controlling the White House found itself with a lot more vulnerable House seats than expected late in the cycle.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. Democrats Looking Good Again on Key Midterm Polling NumbersAfter some pro-Republican trends in the late spring and early summer, the generic congressional ballot and Trump’s approval ratings are stabilizing.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. Why How You Feel About Trump Trumps Parties or Issues in the Fall MidtermsThere are signs of unusually strong positive and negative sentiment toward the president, though the battleground remains tilted toward Democrats.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. The Polls Are Swinging to the Democrats AgainThe 2018 Democratic wave: Now you see it, now you don’t, now you see it again.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. Is the 2018 Democratic Wave Receding?The big picture still suggests a positive picture for Team Blue — but there are a lot of questions.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. If Democrats Are So Strong, Why Is Their Polling Lead So Weak?More and more observers are noting that House polls for November aren’t showing the sort of Democratic margins we’ve seen in special elections.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. The Coming Democratic Wave May Be Smaller Than ExpectedThere are good signs for Republicans that show a Democratic “wave” is no longer certain, but in the end turnout patterns could matter most.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. A New Poll Looks Mighty Grim for DemocratsIt’s just one poll, but GOP tax reform seems to be getting a lot more popular.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. 2017’s Special Elections Are Telling a Hopeful Story for DemocratsThe Donkey Party has been getting a lot more votes than expected.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. Paul Ryan Scoffs at Prospects of Losing His Gavel in 2018Signs are growing that House Republicans, including some very senior members, could be in trouble next year.
    By Ed Kilgore