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Iowa Caucuses

  1. early and often
    What Trump Actually Said in His ‘Toned Down’ Iowa Caucus Victory SpeechAn unusually gracious and subdued Trump called for the country to “come together” after his Iowa win. But then he kept talking.
  2. early and often
    2024 Iowa Caucus: How It Works and Who’s Expected to WinPolls show Trump has a huge lead with Haley and DeSantis battling for second place. Here’s what to watch for when 2024 voting kicks off on MLK Day.
  3. poll position
    What the Polls Say Today: Trump Is Trouncing DeSantis and Haley in IowaThe winnowing of the GOP field has only added to Trump’s strength, according to a new gold-standard Iowa poll by Ann Selzer.
  4. early and often
    DeSantis Sets Himself Up for Humiliation in IowaHe’s predicting he’ll beat Trump, which is highly unlikely, instead of framing a second-place victory over Nikki Haley as a win.
  5. early and often
    Iowa Kingmaker Vander Plaats Thinks State Will ‘Rise Up’ Against TrumpBob Vander Plaats has a solid record of picking Iowa Caucus winners. But DeSantis isn’t going to beat Trump on January 15.
  6. early and often
    DeSantis Hangs On in Iowa Despite Campaign TurmoilAs the governor won the endorsement of Iowa kingmaker Bob Vander Plaats, leaders of his PAC were almost literally at each other’s throats.
  7. early and often
    The Iowa Democratic Caucuses As We Knew Them Finally DieIowa bent to demands by the White House and the national party to exit the early window they long occupied. So the stage will belong to the GOP.
  8. poll position
    What the Polls Say Today: Trump Still Riding High in IowaA long-awaited Iowa poll from Ann Selzer shows Trump maintaining a strong lead in the state that will vote first. DeSantis is down but not out.
  9. early and often
    The Iowa Caucus Could Be Republicans’ Only Chance to Stop TrumpSome are hoping a Trump-slayer will emerge later in the primary. But if Trump’s rivals underperform in Iowa, he could quickly become unbeatable.
  10. early and often
    Why Is Trump Attacking Iowa’s Most Powerful Republicans?Trump scolded Governor Kim Reynolds and snubbed Christian-right leader Bob Vander Plaats. He may be lowering expectations — or trying to break them.
  11. early and often
    Iowa Republicans (Accidentally) Schedule Caucus for MLK DaySupposedly, Iowa Republicans didn’t realized they’d picked a federal holiday as the start date for voting in the 2024 nomination contest.
  12. early and often
    Trump Promises to Hold Yearlong ‘Great American State Fair’ in IowaMaybe it’s just a pander, but Trump is smart to play on Iowa’s love for its annual festival of fried food, big livestock, and butter sculptures.
  13. early and often
    DeSantis Steers Sharply to Trump’s RightAs he prepares to become a candidate officially, the Florida governor is aiming at Iowa and New Hampshire with a harsh right-wing message.
  14. early and often
    DeSantis Seizes Opening Against Trump in IowaTrump’s abortion stance irked key Evangelical leaders in Iowa. Now the Florida governor may be looking to go big in the first 2024 contest.
  15. iowa
    The Decline and Fall of Iowa DemocratsHuman error has contributed to the rapidly declining position of Iowa in Democratic politics, but demographic fundamentals matter most.
  16. politics
    Democrats Have a Plan to Dump the Iowa CaucusesThe first-in-the-nation caucuses have survived many challenges over the years, but a new DNC proposal could finally dethrone Iowa.
  17. politics
    Despite Iowa-Caucus Debacle, 2024 Process Probably Won’t ChangeThe earlier impetus for change among Democrats angry at the 2020 Iowa-caucus meltdown seems to be fading as the party has bigger problems to address.
  18. marjorie taylor greene
    Why Is Marjorie Taylor Greene Headed to the Cradle of Presidential Campaigns?Does the conspiracist Georgia congresswoman see herself running for president? It’s unclear what else she could be doing at the Iowa State Fair.
  19. politics
    Iowa and New Hampshire Won’t Be Knocked Out of FirstDespite constant complaints, the difficulty of changing the primary and caucus calendar will likely keep the early states in place for 2024.
  20. elections
    Despite Iowa’s Caucus Meltdown, the Old System May SurviveA year ago, it seemed likely that the debacle would cost Iowa its privileged spot. But now plans for 2024 are murky, and the status quo could prevail.
  21. vision 2020
    Trump Keeps Repeating These Ludicrous Attacks on Voting by MailSome Trump claims are made up, others are exaggerations, and still others mistake safeguards against fraud for fraud.
  22. 2020 democratic convention
    13 Days That Shook the Political EarthLeft for dead by some after New Hampshire, Joe Biden’s brisk comeback was one for the ages.
  23. vision 2020
    Buttigieg Never Had a Chance Without Non-White VotersMayor Pete’s inability to appeal to a diverse base of support led him to the exit before a full demographic humiliation on Super Tuesday.
  24. vision 2020
    The Final Results of the Last Iowa Caucus Ever Are InButtigieg and Sanders had a split decision, but the uncertainty over one metric for victory extended Iowa’s agony. The system will never be the same.
  25. vision 2020
    Bye-Bye, CaucusesWyoming’s April 4 contest may be the last-ever authorized Democratic presidential nominating caucus.
  26. vision 2020
    Bernie Wins Big in Nevada CaucusesThe other candidates’ order of finish remains unclear, but Sanders exceeded high expectations.
  27. vision 2020
    What to Expect From Nevada’s CaucusesSanders is the heavy favorite, but the order of finish for the rest of the field may matter a lot — assuming we have quick returns.
  28. vision 2020
    How Do the Nevada Caucuses Work?Nevada’s caucuses are very much modeled on Iowa’s, with a new “early caucusing” wrinkle, and more lead time to head off reporting chaos.
  29. election reform
    Sometimes Slow Election Results Are Good for DemocracyWe have no birthright to instant election results, particularly when a slow count reflects greater access to the ballot.
  30. vision 2020
    Here We Go Again? Fears Spread of Iowa-Style Chaos in Nevada Caucuses.On top of some of the same problems Iowa had, Nevada is introducing early caucusing without an obvious way to calculate results.
  31. vision 2020
    Which Democratic Presidential Candidates Will Survive Until Super Tuesday?It could be lots of candidates, or just two or three, depending on what happens in Nevada and South Carolina.
  32. vision 2020
    Pete and Amy Are Riding High After New Hampshire, But Probably Not for LongToday’s moderate stars don’t have the minority support, the campaign infrastructure, or the money to beat Bernie or Bloomberg.
  33. vision 2020
    Nevada Tries Early CaucusingEssentially using ranked-choice voting, early participants can simulate the two-stage alignments and realignments of regular caucusgoers.
  34. vision 2020
    Will Bernie-Panicked Centrists Stampede to Bloomberg?As Biden sinks and Buttigieg struggles to win minority voters, the ultrarich former New York mayor is looking stronger.
  35. vision 2020
    Why Wasn’t Turnout Better in Iowa?Maybe it was just a matter of complacent Democrats not knowing or caring whom they support against Trump. But it doesn’t show an expanding coalition.
  36. vision 2020
    Biden’s Last Stand?Biden’s candidacy was teetering entering the debate. He began by predicting his own defeat in New Hampshire, and it didn’t get much better from there.
  37. vision 2020
    Who Could Breach Joe Biden’s ‘Firewall’ in South Carolina?Biden’s plan to rely on African-American voters in the Palmetto state no longer looks that secure.
  38. technocracy
    5 Theories About Conspiracy TheoriesWe live in the age of red yarn and corkboard. There’s no easy explanation — but here are five theories why.
  39. vision 2020
    DNC Asks for Do-over in Iowa Caucus CountWe’re probably not going to get the results anytime soon.
  40. iowa caucuses
    Iowa Dems: Pro-Trump Trolls Clogged Phones Lines, Worsening Caucus DebacleA hotline to report caucus results was tied up, at least in part, by pranksters from 4Chan.
  41. vision 2020
    Elizabeth Warren’s Tough Road AheadShe’s now clearly trailing Sanders as the progressive favorite, but still has some potential as a “unity candidate.”
  42. vision 2020
    The Most Consequential Failure of the Iowa CaucusesThe unusually slow count and abnormally large field of viable candidates means that the Iowa caucus didn’t shrink the field.
  43. iowant to go to sleep
    More Security Isn’t Better SecurityThe Iowa caucuses were crippled by aggressive secrecy and overzealous security measures around their voting app.
  44. vision 2020
    Inside Bernie’s Day of WaitingWith results in limbo and his rivals already fanned out in N.H., Sanders sat in Iowa, angry but still hoping to claim a victory he’d long counted on.
  45. vision 2020
    The Iowa Caucus Results Suggest We’re in for a Long, Strange PrimaryJoe Biden’s weak showing — and Pete Buttigieg’s strong one — will likely keep the Democratic-primary fight crowded and long.
  46. vision 2020
    Is Iowa a Bad Omen for Biden or Just a Bump in the Road?Biden lucked out of bad Caucus Night headlines, but he needs do to better before colliding with Michael Bloomberg’s wallet.
  47. the national interest
    We Still Don’t Know Who Won the Iowa Democratic CaucusIowa Democrats have partial results on an extremely confusing process.
  48. iowa caucuses
    Iowa’s Election Crises Won’t End With Monday Night’s Caucus DebacleIowa is the only state that bans people with felony convictions from ever voting again.
  49. iowa caucuses
    Donald Trump Is Winning the 2020 Democratic PrimaryThe Democratic Party turned the Iowa caucuses into an infomercial for its incompetence and internal divisions.
  50. technocracy
    The Real Problems With the Iowa Caucuses’ ‘Shadow’ AppTechnical failures were amplified by institutional failures, which were amplified by communications failures, creating a cascade of incompetence.
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