The Decline and Fall of Iowa DemocratsHuman error has contributed to the rapidly declining position of Iowa in Democratic politics, but demographic fundamentals matter most.
What to Expect From Nevada’s CaucusesSanders is the heavy favorite, but the order of finish for the rest of the field may matter a lot — assuming we have quick returns.
ByEd Kilgore
vision 2020
How Do the Nevada Caucuses Work?Nevada’s caucuses are very much modeled on Iowa’s, with a new “early caucusing” wrinkle, and more lead time to head off reporting chaos.
Nevada Tries Early CaucusingEssentially using ranked-choice voting, early participants can simulate the two-stage alignments and realignments of regular caucusgoers.
Why Wasn’t Turnout Better in Iowa?Maybe it was just a matter of complacent Democrats not knowing or caring whom they support against Trump. But it doesn’t show an expanding coalition.
ByEd Kilgore
vision 2020
Biden’s Last Stand?Biden’s candidacy was teetering entering the debate. He began by predicting his own defeat in New Hampshire, and it didn’t get much better from there.
Elizabeth Warren’s Tough Road AheadShe’s now clearly trailing Sanders as the progressive favorite, but still has some potential as a “unity candidate.”
More Security Isn’t Better SecurityThe Iowa caucuses were crippled by aggressive secrecy and overzealous security measures around their voting app.
ByBrian Feldman
vision 2020
Inside Bernie’s Day of WaitingWith results in limbo and his rivals already fanned out in N.H., Sanders sat in Iowa, angry but still hoping to claim a victory he’d long counted on.
The Mourning After in IowaIt’s unclear what the nominating process will look like in 2024. But for Iowa, these caucuses were a tragedy.
ByEd Kilgore
vision 2020
The Iowa Caucuses Were Supposed to Be ImportantIn the Des Moines Marriott, among campaign staffers and reporters, there were tears, cocktails, regrets, and pledges to never return to Iowa.
How Do the Iowa Caucuses Work?For the first time, there will be three measurements of success, two based on initial and “realigned” raw votes and the third on delegates.
Two Campaigns on the Brink in IowaElizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg, for all their differences, may be the two candidates who most need a good showing in Iowa on Monday night.