Displaying all articles tagged:

Iowa Caucuses

  1. vision 2020
    Could Elizabeth Warren’s Ground Game Propel Her to an Iowa Victory?Intelligencer staffers chat about who has the momentum as we (finally! at last!) near voting day.
  2. vision 2020
    The Big Question in Iowa: Who Will Show Up on Caucus Night?If caucus attendance is high and young people show up like they did for Obama in 2008, it could be a big night for Bernie.
  3. vision 2020
    Winning Iowa Helped Obama in 2008. It Didn’t Make Him.It’s a myth that Iowans gave black voters “permission” to support Obama. But Iowa helped demonstrate his electability, which mattered then as now.
  4. vision 2020
    If There’s an Anybody-But-Bernie Movement, Who Will Lead It?There are already alarms going up about Bernie Sanders sweeping the first three 2020 contests. But late-primary challenges don’t seem to work.
  5. vision 2020
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Wows Iowa, Probably Not for the Last TimeAOC is burnishing her reputation as a progressive all-star, serving as a campaign surrogate in Iowa while Sanders is stuck in the impeachment trial.
  6. impeachment
    What We Learned on Day 7 of Trump’s Impeachment TrialTrump’s lawyers shifted their strategy to a “so what?” argument as Republicans continued to fight the idea of hearing John Bolton.
  7. vision 2020
    Why Polls Might Get the Iowa Caucuses WrongCaucuses and primaries are very different environments … starting with who shows up in the first place.
  8. vision 2020
    Polls Show Bernie Sanders Surging at Just the Right TimeEight days before the Iowa caucuses, polls show Sanders leading Iowa by seven points and New Hampshire by nine, while competing with Biden nationally.
  9. vision 2020
    Des Moines Register Endorses Warren in Run-up to Iowa CaucusesThe paper has often failed to pick caucus-winners, but could give a boost of momentum to Warren in a close four-way race.
  10. vision 2020
    Could Bloomberg’s Billions Boost the Odds of a Contested Convention?If multiple candidates steam towards Super Tuesday, Bloomberg’s massive spending on that and later dates could make forming a majority tough.
  11. vision 2020
    Why Candidate Alliances Could Matter in Iowa CaucusesMarianne Williamson backing Andrew Yang is a reminder of how alliances can aid candidates scrambling to cross the viability threshold on caucus night.
  12. vision 2020
    You Can’t Reform the Presidential Nominating Process With WishesWe don’t really have a unified system for nominating presidential candidates, so systematic reforms aren’t easy.
  13. vision 2020
    How the Impeachment Trial Affects Sanders, Warren, and Klobuchar in IowaThe four senators still running for president will lose valuable face time and local media coverage during a crucial stretch of the campaign.
  14. vision 2020
    One of the Iowa Contenders Could Beat Trump, Right?Two weeks out from the caucus, it’s an unprecedented four-way deadlock. Ready, set, go!
  15. vision 2020
    Why the Iowa Caucus Could Have Three Winners This YearUnder new transparency rules, we’ll see popular-vote totals plus delegate estimates, allowing several candidates to spin the results as a win.
  16. vision 2020
    Sanders–Warren Conflict Roils Iowa Debate — and the 2020 RaceA relatively calm debate — and for that matter, nominating process — was suddenly submerged in a simmering then roaring conflict between two camps.
  17. vision 2020
    Iowa Gets Its Very Own Debate TonightIt’s the first Democratic debate in which the primary audience is the one that will vote first.
  18. vision 2020
    Is Warren Still a Viable Unity Candidate?She lost altitude as she got hit from left and center on Medicare for All, and old electability fears returned. But she can begin a comeback in Iowa.
  19. vision 2020
    Buttigieg’s Sharp Elbows Jab BidenMayor Pete isn’t just going back and forth with Warren and Klobuchar. He’s also apparently trying to get to Biden’s left on national security.
  20. vision 2020
    For Klobuchar, It’s an Iowa Surge or ElseAfter a solid debate performance, she badly needs to catch one of the top-four candidates in Iowa.
  21. vision 2020
    The Democratic Debate Showcased a Fight for the Moderate LaneIt featured fireworks among center-left candidates, with Buttigieg where Klobuchar needs to be in Iowa, and both still chasing Biden.
  22. vision 2020
    How Bloomberg Could Shake the 2020 Race on Super TuesdayThe billionaire probably can’t win the nomination, but his monstrous spending could create big problems for survivors of the early state contests.
  23. impeachment
    How Republicans Can Use an Impeachment Trial to Mess With the Democratic PrimaryPutting Joe and Hunter Biden in the spotlight and imprisoning senators in a trial could interfere with the nominating process.
  24. vision 2020
    Bullock, Sestak Drop Out of 2020 Presidential RaceBullock had a great electability argument. But he got into the race late and then failed to make enough of a mark.
  25. vision 2020
    Getting Hot Late Is Usually the Key to Winning IowaA good organization and momentum are both key to an Iowa caucus win, but this year there are signs of potential late shifts.
  26. vision 2020
    The Expected Pete Buttigieg Pile-On Never Happened in the Atlanta DebateMayor Pete has been surging in Iowa and New Hampshire polls — but his rivals pretty much left him alone.
  27. vision 2020
    Kamala Harris Facing Home-State HeartburnKamala Harris’s once-plausible path to the Democratic nomination is very rocky now. Maybe she’d be smart to pack it in before losing her home state.
  28. vision 2020
    Is Pete Buttigieg Peaking Too Early in Iowa?Things are looking sunny for Mayor Pete, though there’s time for others to catch up in Iowa, and he still needs to woo more nonwhite voters.
  29. vision 2020
    Buttigieg Bump Leads to Candidates Griping About Iowa AgainYou hear complaints every cycle, but fears that Iowa and New Hampshire will bleach the field or give an undeserved boost to Mayor Pete are rising.
  30. impeachment
    Could a Long Impeachment Trial Derail the Senators Running for President?If a Trump trial happens in prime presidential caucus-and-primary season, candidates could be imprisoned in the Senate.
  31. vision 2020
    Is Buttigieg’s Presidential Bid Buoyed by Male Privilege?Klobuchar says Mayor Pete has only gotten this far because he’s a man. It’s probably more complicated than that.
  32. vision 2020
    Bloomberg to Follow the Not-So-Successful Giuliani Strategy in the PrimariesLike Rudy, Bloomberg is a poor fit for his party, pursuing a doomed strategy, unless he just wants to damage Sanders and Warren.
  33. vision 2020
    Report: Steyer Aide Offered Iowa Politicians Money in Exchange for EndorsementsAn adviser to the billionaire got caught hinting that local candidates endorsing him might come into some campaign contributions.
  34. vision 2020
    Can Anyone Catch the Big Four in Iowa?Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, and Warren are far ahead of the rest of the field in Iowa, and there likely won’t be more than four tickets out of there.
  35. vision 2020
    Campaign Death Watch BeginsIt’s the time when preprimary winnowing gets serious, and Kamala Harris’s campaign has the bad luck to get seen cutting back on staff.
  36. vision 2020
    Can Cory Booker Revive His Flagging Campaign?Booker is a very good candidate … on paper. If he’s going to make a move in the race, it’s got to be now.
  37. vision 2020
    How Many Candidates Can Survive a Bad Showing in Iowa?There are traditionally “three tickets out of Iowa,” but there may be four this time around.
  38. vision 2020
    Buttigieg Showing Strength in IowaMeanwhile, would-be Biden alternatives Harris and Booker are struggling in Iowa, where they have both bet the farm.
  39. vision 2020
    Warren Overtakes Biden for Lead in National PollsFor the first time, the former veep’s not leading in the RealClearPolitics national polling average.
  40. vision 2020
    Biden Planning One-on-One Showdown With WarrenBiden’s plan for a Super Tuesday “firewall” in case he loses early isn’t novel. But for previous presidential candidates, it meant defeat.
  41. vision 2020
    Pete Buttigieg Wooing Moderates in Hope of a Biden CollapseBut the successful Democratic moderates of the past all had solid African-American support, which Mayor Pete famously lacks.
  42. vision 2020
    Will Impeachment Bring Back ‘Kamala the Prosecutor’ and Save Her Candidacy?The trouble with this idea is that there’s no natural venue for Harris to shine on TV without a lot of Republican cooperation.
  43. vision 2020
    Could Biden Become Collateral Damage of Impeachment Drive?It couldn’t be good for Biden to have his last name — via his son, Hunter — in the news every day in connection with the effort to impeach Trump.
  44. vision 2020
    A Fresh Batch of Polls Has Good News for Tulsi, Bad News for BernieGabbard’s now on the debate stage for October, guaranteeing two events, and polls show Warren pulling well ahead of Sanders in early states.
  45. vision 2020
    Iowa Gets ‘Satellite Caucuses’ After DNC Nixes ‘Virtual’ PlanThe new system is a lot like the old one but with some additional caucus sites, like the ones Nevada provided for hotel and casino workers.
  46. vision 2020
    Can Biden Lose the First Two States and Still Win the Nomination?Nobody’s done it before, but it’s possible, albeit perilous. Biden’s much stronger in Nevada and South Carolina.
  47. vision 2020
    DNC Kills ‘Virtual Caucuses’ Over Hacking FearsThe hackability of a telephone-based virtual caucus system led to second thoughts about the system, leaving two states and many candidates in limbo.
  48. electoral college
    No, Joni Ernst, Iowans Don’t Need the Electoral College to Influence PresidentsIt’s funny that the senator for the first-in-the-nation-caucus state thinks nobody would pay attention to Iowa if not for its six electoral votes.
  49. vision 2020
    Joe Biden Gaffes His Way Through IowaBiden’s intensified ground game will test his ability to minimize flubs and remain on message. He may not have passed the test this weekend in Iowa.
  50. vision 2020
    Surging in Polls, Elizabeth Warren Now Has a Path to the NominationShe’s got a long way to go, but for the first time, there is a plausible scenario for Warren to get a one-on-one competition with Biden and win.
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