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Poll Position

  1. poll position
    What the Polls Say Today: It’s Warnock’s Race to LoseEven polls that showed Herschel Walker leading in November now show Raphael Warnock slightly ahead.
  2. poll position
    The Final 2022 Midterms Polling ForecastAs Election Day arrives, polls show a lot of close races. While there’s talk of a Republican wave, there’s also potential for big Democratic wins.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Election Deniers Won’t Run the 2024 ElectionIn key 2024 battleground states, MAGA candidates’ hopes of taking over the election machinery are not looking great.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Doug Mastriano’s Hopes FadeAs we approach the finish line for the midterms, some races seem resolved, like the Pennsylvania governor’s race. But an awful lot are still in play.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Adam Laxalt (Might) Have the LeadIn one of the country’s hottest races, two polls have the Republican up significantly — but a third shows Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto holding on.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Outliers Show Tudor Dixon and Lee Zeldin SurgingWhile some pollsters see big upsets in Michigan and New York, all is quiet in once-tense Colorado and Missouri.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Red Alert for Patty Murray?The Washington Democrat could be in trouble, but there’s relatively good news for her party in other Senate races.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Maybe Warnock Really Is Going ‘Downhill’ in GeorgiaPerhaps what Chuck Schumer told Joe Biden about Georgia is right, but Governor Kathy Hochul is doing a bit better.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Is Kari Lake Building a Huge Lead?In Arizona, the latest midterms polling has Lake ahead by double digits. Meanwhile, deep-blue Oregon could elect a Republican governor, too.
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    What the Polls Say Today: Sunny Skies for Florida RepublicansThe latest midterms surveys show key races from Georgia to Wisconsin remain close, but Florida incumbents Marco Rubio and Ron DeSantis are cruising.
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    Trump’s Terrible Senate Candidates Could Still WinGOP Senate nominees like Mehmet Oz, Blake Masters, and Herschel Walker looked vulnerable in the summer, but polls show their races tightening.
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    Democrats Aren’t Laughing at Dr. Oz Anymore As Pennsylvania Race TightensRecent polls show the Pennsylvania Senate race between John Fetterman and Mehmet Oz — a must-win for both parties — is a toss-up.
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    Why Are Pollsters Disagreeing About the 2022 Midterms?If one influential Republican-leaning pollster is right, Patty Murray and Josh Shapiro should be worried. Others scoff at the idea.
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    Should We Stop Paying Attention to Election Polls?Polls are like democracy: bad except as compared to all the alternatives.
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    There’s an Outlier Poll for Whatever You Want to Hear Right NowPolling averages in presidential and Senate races are fairly stable, but you can cherry-pick surveys going in all sorts of directions.
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    COVID Resurgence May Keep Trump From Closing the Gap With BidenAs Trump urges voters to stop dwelling on his handling of the pandemic, COVID-19 is making an attention-grabbing comeback, especially in the Midwest.
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    Where Trump and the GOP Need Immediate Gains to Win on Election DayIt’s getting late in the day for a Republican surge, and the trouble for Trump and his party is that they trail over a large landscape.
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    The Three States With Both Close Presidential and Senate RacesIn Georgia, North Carolina, and Iowa, Biden and Trump are virtually tied, and so too are Senate candidates.
  19. poll position
    Two Republicans Could Blow Up Democrats’ Shot at the SenateHow the GOP may just pull off flipping seats in states as different as Alabama and Michigan.
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    Biden Takes Double-Digit Polling Lead As Clock Ticks for TrumpIn the presidential races as in the Senate, Democrats don’t have a lock on victory but have many paths to get there.
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    It’s Harder Than it Looks for Democrats to Win the SenateRecent polls show many newly competitive Democratic Senate candidates, but they could still fall short of a majority even if Biden wins.
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    Is the Bottom Beginning to Drop Out of the Trump Campaign?Some particularly bad polls for the incumbent have come out after his first debate with Biden and COVID-19 diagnosis.
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    Trump’s Post-Access Hollywood Comeback Will Be Hard to RepeatAt this point in the 2016 cycle, Trump’s campaign looked dead — then he bounced back. But he went into his COVID crisis with weaker poll numbers.
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    So How Do the Polls Look After That Hellscape of a Debate?Trump certainly isn’t getting a bump from his performance, and he’s getting some not-great news from key-state polls.
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    Trump Needs Debates to Move the PollsThe president is still in range in battleground states if he can get a decent national swing, but he’s running out of time and Biden’s lead is steady.
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    New State Polls Show Biden Landslide and Narrow Trump Win Are Both PossibleBiden’s national lead is steady, but a shift of a few points in either direction could produce a big shift in Electoral votes.
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    New, Highly Credible Polls Offer Bad News For TrumpTrump is not doing well in states he really needs to win (like Arizona), and his troubles are dragging down Republican Senate candidates.
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    50 Days Out, Biden Doing Better in Polls Than Clinton, Obama, or KerryThe only candidate to overcome as big a disadvantage as Trump faces now is Obama in 2008, and all hell broke loose that fall.
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    Spitzer Still Leading Comptroller’s Race, Just Not as MuchThe margin of error is out to get him in a post-Weiner poll.
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    Mitt Romney Has a Point on Michele BachmannHighlights from a very early Iowa poll.