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Polling

  1. politics
    Sympathy for the Devil: In Defense of Horse-Race Election PollingThe answer to flawed data is more, not less, data.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. the inside game
    Polling in America Is Still Broken. So Who Is Really Winning in Virginia?The polls were disastrously wrong in 2020. That has political insiders extra nervous about a pivotal state election.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  3. state of the nation
    TMZ Is the Only Public Opinion Polling I TrustThe site’s “Stars and Scars” survey has its finger on the pulse of America.
    By Eve Peyser
  4. california recall
    Did One Bad Poll Help Gavin Newsom Mobilize Recall Opponents?Turns out the mortal threat of a recall may have been in part an illusion based on one shocking poll.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. racial justice
    Avoiding White Backlash Is a Racial-Justice IssueDemocrats can’t make major legislative progress on racial equality without winning more Senate seats. To do that, they must win more white votes.
    By Eric Levitz
  6. poll roundup
    Biden Has Modest Approval From Americans Ahead of 100-Day MarkBut his pandemic response enjoys solid popularity, and the public appears to like the post-Trump return to presidential normalcy.
    By Chas Danner
  7. politics
    Andrew Yang Leads NYC Mayoral Race in New PollYang was the top pick of 22 percent of likely Democratic voters. Eric Adams and Scott Stringer were the only other candidates to break double digits.
    By Nia Prater
  8. wonks
    Election Night with Biden’s Data GuruBecca Siegel’s task was to figure out, in real time, if Biden was on track to win. That wasn’t always easy.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  9. vision 2020
    Will Biden — or Trump — Get a Post-Convention Bounce in the Polls?Maybe. But figuring out what exactly the polls are telling us is complicated.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. vision 2020
    Commies Versus the Klan? Democrats and Republicans Have a Dim View of Each OtherRepublicans think Democrats are socialists, and Democrats think Republicans are racists. One or both of them may be right, but nobody will be civil.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. Will the Youth Vote Surge in November?Nobody’s ever figured out how to get young people to vote in midterms in representative numbers. Donald Trump in the White House may do the trick.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. Trump’s Abysmal Approval Ratings Set a New RecordGallup has never recorded numbers this low for a president so early in his first term.
    By Adam K. Raymond
  13. early and awkward
    Donald Trump Is Less Popular With American Voters Than Literal Head LiceAccording to a new national poll.
    By Claire Landsbaum
  14. wishful thinking
    72% of Americans Adorably Plan to Vote in 2016A new poll shows that the election hasn’t yet wrecked the humanity of the American people quite yet.
    By Jaime Fuller
  15. number crunching
    Americans Have Been This Angry Since JulyA new poll reveals that their opinions haven’t changed much since mid-summer.
    By Avi Zenilman
  16. god hates pundits
    Muslims Like Barack Obama Even Though He Eats During RamadanNo big love from Mormons, though.
    By Avi Zenilman