Trump’s Job Approval Plunging as He Leaves OfficeTrump’s support is in free fall, but is high enough among Republicans to keep them from dumping him. Biden enters office with a bit of a honeymoon.
David Shor’s Postmortem of the 2020 ElectionDemocrats must accept that Biden won through persuasion, not mobilization — and if the party can’t change the Senate, it will need to change itself.
Is Biden’s Lead Shrinking?A favorable CNN poll for Trump is getting a lot of attention, but polling averages and presidential approval ratings tell a different story.
Why 2020 Is Not Just Another 2016Democrats can be forgiven for a superstitious fear of a Trump comeback. But the real threat may not emerge until the polls close.
Why Biden Needs to Win BigGiven Trump’s Electoral College advantage and the need to win Senate races, Biden must have as big a national popular vote lead as he can get.
2020 Election Polls Look Solid, But Not PerfectPrimary polls were about as accurate as in 2016, though they failed to anticipate the Biden surge. November will be a bigger test for pollsters.
Why Nobody Can Prevent the All-White Debate StageThere’s no formula for adding nonwhite candidates to debates that won’t add more white candidates as well, reversing the winnowing of the nonviable.