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Vision 2020

  1. mike pence
    Pence Rebukes Trump, Calls His View of January 6 Powers ‘Un-American’Less than a week after Trump claimed Pence could and should have overturned the 2020 election, the former veep laid down the actual law.
  2. 2022 midterms
    Democrats Need Republican Mistakes to Hang On to the SenateA normal midterm swing could help Republicans sweep close Senate races. But Trump and intraparty problems could help Democrats keep control.
  3. politics
    Biden Didn’t Have the Power or Luck to Become FDR or LBJBiden is trying to govern in an era totally unlike the 1930s or 1960s with little margin for error and a lot of nasty surprises. Give him a break.
  4. politics
    Never Mind the Facts. Trump Fans Feel Like a MajorityWhen you’ve been convinced polls are fake and actual elections are rigged, it is easy to confuse visible signs of enthusiasm as a ticket to power.
  5. democrats
    Will a Doomed Voting-Rights Push Really Help Biden?Democrats’ “supercharged” drive to pass voting-rights legislation, which will likely fail, could discourage base voters more than sober realism.
  6. politics
    Are Democrats Just Repeating Obama’s First Year?There are some striking similarities between the party’s current problems and what they faced 12 years ago. But Obama did manage to get reelected.
  7. politics
    Why Biden Wants You to Think He’s Running in 2024Whether or not he actually plans to run again, there are many good reasons for the president to keep insisting that he’s seeking a second term.
  8. 2022 midterms
    California May Help Democrats Curb 2022 LossesThe results of the Golden State’s redistricting process could endanger GOP incumbents, offsetting Democrats’ expected U.S. House losses.
  9. politics
    Despite Iowa-Caucus Debacle, 2024 Process Probably Won’t ChangeThe earlier impetus for change among Democrats angry at the 2020 Iowa-caucus meltdown seems to be fading as the party has bigger problems to address.
  10. politics
    Could Trump Really Depose Mitch McConnell?It’s hard to imagine Republicans denying Donald Trump anything he demanded, but ousting Mitch McConnell as GOP leader won’t be easy.
  11. 2024 vision
    Democrats Need a Three-Year Plan to Save DemocracyThat means largely abandoning hope for 2022 and preparing to do battle at Armageddon with Trump in 2024.
  12. big lie
    Trump Goes Global With Big Lie Litmus TestForeign leaders like former Israeli prime minister Bibi Netanyahu are being cast as enemies for recognizing the 2020 election results.
  13. vision 2024
    Republicans Are Too Afraid of Trump to Fix Election LawsProminent liberals and conservatives favor reform to a statute that helped produce chaos on January 6. But Congress won’t budge.
  14. 2022 midterms
    Trump Ignites Republican Civil War in GeorgiaThe unprecedented primary challenge of Brian Kemp is going to get exceptionally ugly.
  15. politics
    State Legislatures Are Still the Key to Trump’s Election-Coup EffortsThe radical theory that state legislatures have total power over federal elections is at the heart of Trump’s past, and perhaps future, coup attempts.
  16. abortion
    If Roe Is Reversed, Democrats Need to Be ReadyAt a time when their party has convinced itself to avoid social issues, they should prepare for a culture-war battle they can win.
  17. past is prologue
    Cheer Up, Democrats! You’ve Had It Worse Than This.The Democratic Party has a lot of problems, but it’s faced similarly sticky situations before and survived.
  18. politics
    For Pete’s Sake, Stop the Presidential Buzz About ButtigiegThe secretary of Transportation has plenty of fish to fry without constant speculation that antagonizes Kamala Harris supporters to no good end.
  19. politics
    Sympathy for the Devil: In Defense of Horse-Race Election PollingThe answer to flawed data is more, not less, data.
  20. vision 2024
    If Biden Retires in 2024, Kamala Harris Will Be the Democratic NomineeFor all the negative punditry about the veep lately, don’t underestimate all the advantages she’ll have if Biden gives way to her.
  21. 2022 midterms
    Beto O’Rourke Is Running for Governor in TexasThe former Democratic phenom must overcome past questions to challenge a strong but vulnerable Republican incumbent in a red state turning purple.
  22. democrats
    Democrats Shouldn’t Run Away From Their Non-White Party BaseWhite racial resentments are on the rise again. But Democrats shouldn’t dispossess non-white voters in a bid to chase white voters they may never win.
  23. politics
    Sununu Passes on Senate Race, Giving Democrats a BreakThe popular New Hampshire governor was a key part of the formula for a Republican takeover of the Senate in 2022. Now it gets tougher for the GOP.
  24. politics
    Enough With the Tired ’90s Takes on Today’s DemocratsMark Penn and Andrew Stein are advising Biden to turn his back on decades of change within his party and his country. It won’t, and shouldn’t, work.
  25. politics
    6 Takeaways From Glenn Youngkin’s Win in VirginiaEarly data suggests the Republican governor-elect benefited from higher turnout in pro-GOP areas and among white working-class voters in particular.
  26. 2022 midterms
    Raffensperger Fears Future Election Violence, Can’t Stick Around to Thwart ItThe 45th president’s least favorite Republican official is fighting very high odds against his renomination by the Trumpy Georgia GOP.
  27. vision 2024
    Most Republicans Already Say They Can’t Lose in 2024 Unless the Vote Is RiggedIt’s bad enough that Republicans believe Trump’s Big Lie. It’s worse that they believe the bigger lie that he couldn’t — and can’t — lose.
  28. politics
    January 6 Committee May Finally Spur Electoral Count Act FixIf House Democrats move to fix the flawed procedures for confirming elections, Republicans may be compelled to go along or devise their own reforms.
  29. politics
    Trump Can’t Lose in the Virginia Governor’s RaceThe 45th president can spin both a Democratic and a Republican win as reinforcing his indispensability. And the same will be true in 2022.
  30. 2022 midterms
    David Perdue May Primary Trump Foe Brian Kemp in GeorgiaIt seemed Governor Kemp had outfoxed Trump, but now the former president may have reeled in a serious challenger.
  31. mike pence
    For Mike Pence, Running a Doomed Presidential Race Is a LivingThe former veep doesn’t have to be a plausible presidential candidate to stay on the gravy train.
  32. vision 2020
    2020 Was a Victory That Quietly Crushed Democrats’ HopesWinning the White House and Congress was obviously better than losing, but many current Democratic struggles are rooted in 2020 underperformance.
  33. politics
    Never Trump ‘Red Dogs,’ Democrats’ Litmus Tests Are Not About YouDemocrats spent years achieving a progressive consensus and are far from total unity. But they can’t turn back the clock to please ex-Republicans.
  34. politics
    Is It Time for Democrats to Panic About Virginia — and the Midterms?Here’s some reassurance even for Democrats who are worried Glenn Youngkin’s defeat of Terry McAuliffe for governor would foretell a 2022 disaster.
  35. big lie
    Trump Says Republicans Must Solve the Big Lie or Their Voters Won’t VoteIt’s unclear how Trump’s phony fraud incidents can be solved by a party that opposes federal election legislation. But it keeps the focus on himself.
  36. politics
    Democratic Losses in 2022 Won’t Doom Biden’s ReelectionClinton and Obama bounced back after their party’s poor midterm performances, and Biden will have the benefit of incumbency in 2024.
  37. politics
    Audit Fever Is Now Spreading to States Trump Easily WonTrump supporters are skeptical about the integrity of our elections, and they’re starting to devour their own.
  38. politics
    Kamala Harris Shouldn’t Have to Save the 2024 ElectionIf Congress fixes the Electoral Count Act now, it could reduce the odds of the vice president needing to assert powers she may not really have.
  39. democrats
    Embattled Democrats Should Count Their BlessingsDemocrats may not leave the legacy their trifecta led them to expect. But it could have been far worse if 2020 election results had shifted slightly.
  40. past is prologue
    Biden May Bounce Back Like Other Presidents HaveHistory shows that presidents usually get reelected unless they are unlucky, or, like Donald Trump, they work hard at alienating voters.
  41. politics
    California Republicans’ Demonization of Voting by Mail May BackfireThe state has made universal voting by mail permanent. Now Republicans must deal with the effect of Trump’s disinformation on mail ballots.
  42. arizona audit
    Arizona Audit Aftermath Shows Trump Conspiracy Theories Will Go On ForeverYes, the recount in Arizona showed Biden’s lead actually increasing, but there’s always another rabbit hole for MAGA folks to explore.
  43. politics
    No, Gavin Newsom Isn’t Going to Sprint to the White HouseThe California governor deserves a lot of credit for crushing the recall. But he wouldn’t have been in such a jam without his own perceived arrogance.
  44. polls
    Why a Troubled Polling Industry Whiffed on the California RecallBig 2020 polling errors nationwide were followed by big 2021 polling errors in California — but in the opposite direction.
  45. politics
    Democrats Won the California Recall, But There Are Warning Signs for MidtermsNewsom matched Biden’s 2020 performance, but their party needs to do even better to claw back desperately needed House seats.
  46. california recall election
    A Defeat of the Newsom Recall Will Feed a New Round of MAGA Conspiracy TheoriesThe recall has lost ground, or maybe never had any. But Newsom’s momentum will be treated by Trump and Republicans as signs of a rigged election.
  47. past is prologue
    Clinton and Biden Bookend the Era of the Swing VoterDifferences in how the two men approached campaigning and governing, despite their similar ideologies, reflect a massive shift in the U.S. electorate.
  48. 2022 midterms
    Raffensperger Struggles to Get Back His MAGA Street CredUnlike Brian Kemp, Raffensperger doesn’t have the political capital or luck in opponents to survive a Trumpian purge with right-wing posturing.
  49. 2022 midterms
    Why 2022 Won’t Be Another 1994 Republican Tidal WaveLindsey Graham’s prediction of an impending red wave ignores several key factors behind the GOP’s historic gains in Bill Clinton’s first midterm.
  50. covid-19 vaccine
    What If Republicans Were Anti-Lockdown, Anti-Mask, and Pro-Vaxx?Tommy Tuberville suggests the best way to erode vaccine hesitancy is to give Trump credit for those shots in the arm. That may be sad but true.
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