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Vision 2024

  1. early and often
    The Contradiction at the Heart of DeSantis 2024The Florida governor wants Republicans to know he is more electable and more extreme than Donald Trump.
    By Eric Levitz
  2. electoral autopsies
    The Return of the Emerging Democratic Majority?In the most highly contested midterm races, millennials and zoomers turned out in even higher numbers than they did in 2018.
    By Eric Levitz
  3. politics
    Why the GOP Can’t Moderate On Abortion Pill BansAs public opinion moves left on abortion, the pro-life movement’s ambitions move ever rightward.
    By Eric Levitz
  4. the national interest
    What Ron DeSantis Can’t FakeTrump’s legal problems reveal an organic connection to the base that his rival is trying but failing to match.
    By Jonathan Chait
  5. early and often
    Trump’s First 2024 Pitch: It’s Me or World War IIIThe former president had some things to say at his first two official campaign events over the weekend.
    By Chas Danner
  6. the power trip
    Donald Trump’s Final CampaignInside his sad, lonely, thirsty, broken, basically pretend run for reelection. (Which isn’t to say he can’t win.)
    By Olivia Nuzzi
  7. vision 2024
    Joe Biden’s Actually Not-at-All-Bad Year2022 could have gone so much worse for Biden. 2024 — and all the steps he must take to show he’s still electable — looms next.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. vision 2024
    Please Shut Up About Liz Cheney or Larry Hogan in 2024The media should quit indulging what is almost disinformation about their White House aspirations.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. early and often
    What Would a Divided Congress Do After the Midterms?If the midterms produce a Republican House and a Democratic Senate, expect more noise than legislation for the rest of Biden’s term.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. early and often
    The Biden Age Is Hitting Its StrideThe debate over how old the president is and whether he should run again is a distraction from how much he has already accomplished.
    By Errol Louis
  11. the inside game
    The Kamala ConundrumThe Democrats’ leader-in-waiting is unpopular, derided by donors, and here to stay.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  12. vision 2024
    The Presidential-Election Landscape Keeps Getting Tougher for DemocratsDems should get used to needing a sizable national popular vote in order to win an Electoral College skewed against them.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. donald trump
    Trump to America: Next Time, No More Mr. Nice GuyTrump’s first speech in Washington since he left office was full of authoritarian menace.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. joe biden
    Biden ’24 Is in Real Trouble NowIf the president doesn’t turn things around, we may hear a lot of retirement as well as birthday wishes when he turns 80.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. vision 2024
    Glenn Youngkin 2024 Rumors Are Pure SillinessGiven too much credit for his 2021 gubernatorial win, the Virginia governor has a long road to go before he’s a serious presidential candidate.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. the power trip
    Donald Trump on 2024: ‘I’ve Already Made That Decision’In an interview with New York, the former president says the only question left in his mind is when he’ll announce.
    By Olivia Nuzzi
  17. vision 2024
    Are Democrats Stuck With Joe Biden in 2024?If the president is stubborn about running, there may be no realistic way for unhappy Democrats to get rid of him without a risky internal fight.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. early and often
    An Early Trump 2024 Announcement Could Screw Over the GOP, AgainIn two Georgia Senate runoffs that were crucial to the GOP in early 2021, Trump thought only of himself. There’s no reason to think he has changed.
    By Ed Kilgore
  19. early and often
    President Mike Pence Would Be Worse Than TrumpThe former vice-president is attempting to bolster his chances in 2024, but Democrats would be wise to beware any attempt to rehabilitate his image.
    By Ross Barkan
  20. vision 2024
    Democrats Quietly Search for an Alternative to Biden in 2024Inside the 2024 soul-searching that’s happening in every corner of the Democratic Party — except the White House.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  21. 2022 midterms
    Governors Could Be Key to Trump’s Next Coup AttemptTrump allies are poised to win in several crucial 2022 races, and election-reform efforts may overlook the threat posed by a rogue governor.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. politics
    DeSantis Could Be Haunted by Florida’s ‘Generous’ Abortion BanThe governor is backing a 15-week abortion ban, which Republicans are billing as a compromise. But his strategy could anger the party’s extremists.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. politics
    Nikki Haley’s Shameless Walk on the Trump TightropeHer startling call for Biden to “step down” was clearly an attempt to atone for crossing Trump. But she may need her dignity someday.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. 2022 midterms
    Biden’s Approval Rating Is Low But Still Higher Than Trump’sWith better skill than he’s shown lately and a bit of luck, Biden can mitigate 2022 midterm losses and bounce back in 2024.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. vision 2024
    A Joe Biden–Liz Cheney 2024 Ticket Won’t Save AmericaThomas Friedman cites an Israeli precedent for his call for a coalition of national salvation. It’s not an apt comparison and probably wouldn’t work.
    By Ed Kilgore
  26. politics
    The Sad, Unconvincing Case for Pence 2024Despite talk of Pence being the “shadow front-runner” for the GOP nomination, he still has no constituency for a presidential campaign.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. politics
    Why Biden Finally Went After Trump on January 6It was a no-brainer for a commemoration of the insurrection Trump incited, but the bigger question is whether Biden keeps at it.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. authoritarianism
    Trump Endorses Viktor Orbán, His Hungarian Role ModelIt’s an unusual move that may signal what Trump hopes to achieve for himself.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. democrats
    Will a Doomed Voting-Rights Push Really Help Biden?Democrats’ “supercharged” drive to pass voting-rights legislation, which will likely fail, could discourage base voters more than sober realism.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. politics
    Are Democrats Just Repeating Obama’s First Year?There are some striking similarities between the party’s current problems and what they faced 12 years ago. But Obama did manage to get reelected.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. big lie
    Trump Goes Global With Big Lie Litmus TestForeign leaders like former Israeli prime minister Bibi Netanyahu are being cast as enemies for recognizing the 2020 election results.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. vision 2024
    Republicans Are Too Afraid of Trump to Fix Election LawsProminent liberals and conservatives favor reform to a statute that helped produce chaos on January 6. But Congress won’t budge.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. abortion
    If Roe Is Reversed, Democrats Need to Be ReadyAt a time when their party has convinced itself to avoid social issues, they should prepare for a culture-war battle they can win.
    By Ed Kilgore
  34. 2022 midterms
    Republicans Can’t Bet on Finding Perfectly Trumpy CandidatesThe GOP thinks candidates who embrace Trump without going full MAGA are the key to winning the midterms. Good luck finding them.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. past is prologue
    Cheer Up, Democrats! You’ve Had It Worse Than This.The Democratic Party has a lot of problems, but it’s faced similarly sticky situations before and survived.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. politics
    For Pete’s Sake, Stop the Presidential Buzz About ButtigiegThe secretary of Transportation has plenty of fish to fry without constant speculation that antagonizes Kamala Harris supporters to no good end.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. vision 2024
    If Biden Retires in 2024, Kamala Harris Will Be the Democratic NomineeFor all the negative punditry about the veep lately, don’t underestimate all the advantages she’ll have if Biden gives way to her.
    By Ed Kilgore
  38. 2022 midterms
    Beto O’Rourke Is Running for Governor in TexasThe former Democratic phenom must overcome past questions to challenge a strong but vulnerable Republican incumbent in a red state turning purple.
    By Ed Kilgore
  39. politics
    Sununu Passes on Senate Race, Giving Democrats a BreakThe popular New Hampshire governor was a key part of the formula for a Republican takeover of the Senate in 2022. Now it gets tougher for the GOP.
    By Ed Kilgore
  40. politics
    6 Takeaways From Glenn Youngkin’s Win in VirginiaEarly data suggests the Republican governor-elect benefited from higher turnout in pro-GOP areas and among white working-class voters in particular.
    By Ed Kilgore
  41. 2021 elections
    Democrats Would Only Lose Again by Decimating Biden’s AgendaThe worst thing Democrats in Congress can do after Tuesday’s election losses is give up their fleeting opportunity to make historic accomplishments.
    By Ed Kilgore
  42. 2022 midterms
    Raffensperger Fears Future Election Violence, Can’t Stick Around to Thwart ItThe 45th president’s least favorite Republican official is fighting very high odds against his renomination by the Trumpy Georgia GOP.
    By Ed Kilgore
  43. vision 2024
    Most Republicans Already Say They Can’t Lose in 2024 Unless the Vote Is RiggedIt’s bad enough that Republicans believe Trump’s Big Lie. It’s worse that they believe the bigger lie that he couldn’t — and can’t — lose.
    By Ed Kilgore
  44. politics
    January 6 Committee May Finally Spur Electoral Count Act FixIf House Democrats move to fix the flawed procedures for confirming elections, Republicans may be compelled to go along or devise their own reforms.
    By Ed Kilgore
  45. politics
    Trump Can’t Lose in the Virginia Governor’s RaceThe 45th president can spin both a Democratic and a Republican win as reinforcing his indispensability. And the same will be true in 2022.
    By Ed Kilgore
  46. mike pence
    For Mike Pence, Running a Doomed Presidential Race Is a LivingThe former veep doesn’t have to be a plausible presidential candidate to stay on the gravy train.
    By Ed Kilgore
  47. big lie
    Trump Says Republicans Must Solve the Big Lie or Their Voters Won’t VoteIt’s unclear how Trump’s phony fraud incidents can be solved by a party that opposes federal election legislation. But it keeps the focus on himself.
    By Ed Kilgore
  48. politics
    Audit Fever Is Now Spreading to States Trump Easily WonTrump supporters are skeptical about the integrity of our elections, and they’re starting to devour their own.
    By Ed Kilgore
  49. politics
    Kamala Harris Shouldn’t Have to Save the 2024 ElectionIf Congress fixes the Electoral Count Act now, it could reduce the odds of the vice president needing to assert powers she may not really have.
    By Ed Kilgore
  50. past is prologue
    Biden May Bounce Back Like Other Presidents HaveHistory shows that presidents usually get reelected unless they are unlucky, or, like Donald Trump, they work hard at alienating voters.
    By Ed Kilgore
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