Why Americans Don’t Vote Their Class AnymoreDeclining unions — and rising educational attainment — have left college-educated whites more left wing than non-college-educated ones.
How Bernie Lost MichiganSanders fell short of his 2016 performance in this crucial state in no small part by losing the white working-class voters he won against Clinton.
ByEd Kilgore
vision 2020
Michigan Could Be Bernie’s WaterlooIn the state where he upset Clinton in 2016 by appealing to white working-class voters tired of trade deals, losing to Biden could be significant.
Why High Turnout May Not Help Democrats in 2020Democrats need a backup plan in case turning the presidential election into a polarized frenzy drives untapped Trump voters to the polls, too.
Does Donald Trump Have a Reelection Strategy?Trump seems incapable of “pivoting to the center” or becoming more popular. So either he’ll wing it, or focus on demonizing his opponent.
ByEd Kilgore
the psephological arts
The Polls Were Fine If Not Perfect in 2018Polls were more accurate than average and didn’t show any notable partisan lean, despite the sky-high turnout that surprised everybody.