Displaying all articles tagged:

2016 Presidential Election

  1. vision 2020
    Not Much ‘Democratic Disarray’ in 2020Polling indicates that backers of Biden’s primary rivals are falling into line much more solidly than did Sanders supporters in 2016.
  2. vision 2020
    Trump Targeting Wrong Battleground States, Just As Clinton Did in 2016The president needs to focus on lifting his national numbers, not “playing defense” in Ohio or Iowa.
  3. vision 2020
    Are Trump’s Rallies for an Audience of One?With no evidence that his rallies make any real difference, you have to wonder if they are held strictly for him to charge up on the crowd’s cheers.
  4. vision 2020
    Trump Needs an Opponent to Demonize. It’s Hard to Do That to Uncle Joe.Trump has tried and failed so far to undermine Joe Biden the way he did Hillary Clinton. He may get really desperate.
  5. vision 2020
    Trump Is Now the 2020 UnderdogThe incumbent’s path to reelection is decidedly narrowing.
  6. vision 2020
    The Tulsa Rally Was a Really Bad Sign for TrumpThe fiasco in Oklahoma sent a lot of terrible messages about the president and his prospects for reelection.
  7. vision 2020
    In Trump Years, It Feels Like Late in His Second TermThe intensity of the Trump presidency may mean he is wearing out his welcome in just one term — which took Bush two terms, according to polling.
  8. vision 2020
    Why Do Trump Supporters Act Like His Reelection Is Certain?For reasons varying from a Trumpian infatuation with “winning” to thoughts of contesting a loss, many Republicans act as though it’s a done deal.
  9. vision 2020
    No One Group of Voters Will Determine Trump’s FateWinning or losing a voter group is often less important than the margins, where a vote’s a vote–except in the Electoral College.
  10. vision 2020
    Biden’s Polling Lead Over Trump Is Getting Seriously LargeWith five months to go, Biden’s leading nationally by a comfortable margin and also in six battleground states Trump won in 2016.
  11. vision 2020
    Libertarians Decide to Become a Joke in 2020With a ticket composed of an obscure party stalwart and a performance artist, they probably won’t draw many votes from major parties in November.
  12. vision 2020
    Third Parties Unlikely to Wreak Havoc in 2020 ElectionMajor parties are more united than they were in 2016, and Americans are more wary of wasting votes — which is bad news for Greens and Libertarians.
  13. supreme court
    Supreme Court Reverses Convictions of Bridgegate SchemersThe payback traffic jam that wound up obstructing Chris Christie’s path to the White House was bad, but not a federal crime.
  14. vision 2020
    Trump Blasts ‘Fake Polling’ (Unless It Makes Him Look Good)You have to wonder if the president is attacking adverse polls in preparation for attacking adverse election results.
  15. vision 2020
    I Love Hillary Clinton — But She Should Stay Far, Far Away From Biden’s CampaignClinton should have a role in a Biden administration if she wants one. But proximity to his campaign can only hurt him.
  16. vision 2020
    5 Reasons Pundits Will Overestimate Trump’s Odds of Winning in NovemberNobody wants to experience Trump gloating at their expense twice in a row.
  17. vision 2020
    Will Trump Allow the Coronavirus to Ravage Blue America?The urban–nonurban divide characterizes the coronavirus response and economic crises to a dangerous degree.
  18. vision 2020
    Trump’s Once-Rosy Reelection Prospects Are Darkening RapidlyWithout a booming economy to claim, Trump’s mediocre job-approval ratings are likely to be a ceiling, rather than a floor, on his support.
  19. vision 2020
    A Black Politician’s Trump Endorsement Raises Eyebrows But Won’t Move VotesAside from the occasional endorsement from random black politicians, there’s no real evidence that Trump’s appeal to black voters has improved much.
  20. vision 2020
    The Wisconsin Results Should Worry Republicans EverywhereDemocrats’ judicial landslide, despite Republican voter suppression, is another sign all the anticipatory gloating of Trump supporters was premature.
  21. vision 2020
    It’s the Last Campaign for Biden and SandersReconciliation should be easier in 2020, since unlike Clinton and Sanders in 2016, the survivors don’t need to anticipate battles down the road.
  22. vision 2020
    Biden’s Hidden Advantage Against TrumpThe president did well in 2016 among voters who disliked both major-party candidates. That’s very unlikely to happen again.
  23. vision 2020
    Odds of a Contested November Election Are on the RiseIf COVID-19 continues to overshadow the general election, it could be held under circumstances where one party or the other won’t accept the results.
  24. vision 2020
    The Meaning of Biden’s Promise to Choose a Woman Running MateIn one sense it’s a consolation prize. In another, a meaningful sign of progress in the Democratic party.
  25. vision 2020
    Bernie, Joe More Popular With Democrats Than Trump Was With Republicans in ’16Democrats may find it easier to unite than Republicans did four years ago.
  26. vision 2020
    Debate Infighting Won’t Kill Democrats’ Chances in NovemberUntil Democrats argue about their genitals, there’s a long way down to the behavior Republicans modeled before winning everything in 2016.
  27. impeachment
    What We Learned on Day Five of the Trump Impeachment TrialTeam Trump took just two hours to preview their case, which mostly revolves around the claim that House Democrats have no real evidence.
  28. vision 2020
    Tulsi Gabbard Unlikely to Win Her Defamation Lawsuit Against Hillary ClintonIt’s tough to win this kind of case against a public official, but Gabbard probably cares more about the publicity.
  29. 2016 presidential election
    Hillary Clinton Won’t Commit to Endorsing Sanders If He Wins Nomination“Nobody likes him, nobody wants to work with him, he got nothing done,” Clinton said of her 2016 rival.
  30. vision 2020
    The Sexist Myth Behind the Sanders-Warren SpatMany Democrats fear, despite a lack of evidence, that a woman can’t win the presidency. They need to reject this misogynist Trumpian assumption.
  31. vision 2020
    Democrats Still Have Multiple Routes to 2020 Electoral College WinIt’s not necessarily all about the Rust Belt.
  32. politics
    Scott Brown and a Perilous Decade For ProgressivismIn January 2010 all the excitement associated with Obama’s election began to dissipate after a special election in Massachusetts.
  33. russia investigation
    Inspector General Finds Russia Investigation Wasn’t an FBI Witch HuntYes, Michael Horowitz says mistakes were made in pursuing a wiretap on Carter Page, but no political bias in investigating the Trump campaign.
  34. democratic primaries
    Maybe the ‘Obama Coalition’ Was Just That: Obama’sEvery Democratic candidate once seen as a potential heir apparent to Obama’s base is either floundering or out of the race.
  35. vision 2020
    Could Pete Buttigieg Actually Become President?Mayor Pete’s minority voter problem is still a big obstacle to his “nominatability.” But as the nominee he could be the un-Trump.
  36. vision 2020
    Black Turnout Could Make or Break Democrats in 2020Democrats need high black turnout if they want to oust Trump. Putting Stacey Abrams on the ticket might be the best available strategy.
  37. elections of 2019
    Bevin Concedes After Republicans Decline to Help Him Steal the ElectionThis could be a useful precedent for Republicans whose president has given reason to fear he might not accept 2020 defeat.
  38. vision 2020
    Three Years Later, Trump Has Lost the Element of SurpriseMemories of the shock of Election Night 2016 could become a strategic asset for Democrats, who sure won’t get over-confident in 2020.
  39. vision 2020
    Maybe Democrats Should Remain on the Defensive in 2020The Trump Era may call for a more proactive agenda, but the Trump campaign is all in on all the old attack lines — and Democrats need to be ready.
  40. vision 2020
    Clinton 2020? Say It Ain’t So, Hillary!Only Hillary Clinton can scotch the talk about this right-wing fantasy.
  41. vision 2020
    Voter Enthusiasm For 2020 Is Off the Charts – Especially For Trump FansYes, voter turnout in 2020 could be historic. But Democrats shouldn’t assume the enthusiasm is all in their own ranks.
  42. impeachment
    Kasich Comes Out for Trump ImpeachmentThe former governor and 2016 candidate, like Mitt Romney, used to be a classic hardcore conservative. The GOP has changed a lot.
  43. vision 2020
    Trump Believes He Has a Mandate for TyrannyGiven the vast powers Trump thinks voters gave him in 2016, what will he be like if he wins reelection? The mind reels.
  44. vision 2020
    Late-Entry Third-Party Threats Haunt DemocratsThe sudden talk about centrist billionaires and “Russian assets” entering the 2020 sweepstakes reflects Democratic nightmares and rivalries.
  45. impeachment
    Somebody Explain to Trump That ‘Traitors’ Schiff and Pelosi Cannot Be ImpeachedTrump’s rage toward those pursuing his impeachment follows his M.O. of accusing his accusers of whatever he’s done, even if it’s unconstitutional.
  46. vision 2020
    Trump Relies on Maduro-Bashing to Win Florida Next YearTrump’s attacks on Maduro are key to winning Florida’s Latino immigrants and boosting his advantage among Cuban-Americans despite his other policies.
  47. conspiracy theories
    McCarthy Still Repeating Bogus Conspiracy Theories About Midterm-Election TheftHouse GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy is still whitewashing his party’s terrible performance in his home state with lurid tales unsupported by evidence.
  48. vision 2020
    How Swing Voters Are Thinking About 2020For many swing voters, the choice isn’t between major parties, but between voting and staying home. Convincing them voting matters could be crucial.
  49. vision 2020
    How the Trump Campaign Is Taking a Cue From Hillary ClintonThe Trump team is taking a cue from Clinton’s 2016 campaign as it looks toward 2020.
  50. donald trump
    What If Trump Supporters Love Chaos as Much as He Does?There’s new evidence that a significant number of Trump supporters love the man precisely for his destructive, nihilistic, and mendacious ways.
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