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2022 Midterms

  1. early and often
    Are Democrats the Party of Low-Turnout Elections Now?One theory about Democratic wins since 2020 and poor prospects for 2024 is that they now excel in non-presidential elections. Could that be right?
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. early and often
    New Midterms Data Reveals Good News for Democrats in 2024Pew found voters stayed loyal to their parties in 2022. That bodes well for Democrats, who tend to see turnout rebounds in presidential elections.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. electoral autopsies
    The Return of the Emerging Democratic Majority?In the most highly contested midterm races, millennials and zoomers turned out in even higher numbers than they did in 2018.
    By Eric Levitz
  4. early and often
    Trump May Be a Repeat ‘Loser,’ But He’s Good at GOP PrimariesGeneral-election losses by Trump’s 2022 candidates shouldn’t obscure his great record among voters who will choose a 2024 GOP presidential nominee.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. early and often
    Trump Leads GOP Field In His Personal Hell, GeorgiaThe first major poll from Georgia shows the former president with a big lead in a state that has handed him multiple defeats since 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. early and often
    Doug Mastriano May Crush Pennsylvania Republicans’ Dreams Once AgainMany Republicans think David McCormick can win a 2024 Senate race. But the GOP can’t shake Mastriano, an ultra-MAGA election denier and 2022 loser.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. early and often
    The Data-Driven Strategy Behind Democrats’ State-Level Success in 2022The president’s party almost always loses state-level power in midterm elections. Here’s how Democrats bucked that trend last year.
    By Eric Levitz
  8. early and often
    No, Ron DeSantis Isn’t the Second Coming of Ronald ReaganThe idea that “DeSantis Democrats” are the new “Reagan Democrats” betrays a misunderstanding of both men.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. 2022 midterms
    Why 2022’s Big Lesson for Democrats Might Be … NothingSeveral Democratic Senate candidates won in ways that almost entirely depended on unique and local opportunities.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. early and often
    The Data That Shows Progressives Can Win on CrimeNew polling explains why some Democrats beat back Republican attacks, and it comes down to one word: prevention.
    By Ross Barkan
  11. early and often
    Democrats’ Midterm Performance Is a Good Sign for Biden 2024Presidents running for reelection tend to perform better than their party did in the preceding midterms.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. 2022 midterms
    Democrats Came Shockingly Close to Keeping the HouseThe final numbers show the 2022 midterms may have represented not just Republican underperformance but a lost Democratic opportunity.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. 2022 midterms
    Georgia Republicans Are Fed Up With General-Election RunoffsAfter losing back-to-back Senate runoffs, GOP officials like Brad Raffensperger think it’s time to end the state’s unique overtime system.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. early and often
    Raphael Warnock Is the Exception in Georgia, Not the RuleThe pastor turned politician defied the odds again, but Georgia is still barely a purple state.
    By Zak Cheney-Rice
  15. 2022 midterms
    Herschel Walker Didn’t Just Lose; Raphael Warnock WonWalker was indeed a bad Trump-recruited candidate. But Warnock ran a very impressive campaign once again.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. early and often
    Yes, Republicans Still Pose a Threat to DemocracyThe 2022 results do not show that the GOP has given up on ruling without majority support whenever it can or must.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. the system
    Herschel Walker Is the Last Republican StandingHis runoff campaign goes all in on Trumpism.
    By Zak Cheney-Rice
  18. vision 2024
    Joe Biden’s Actually Not-at-All-Bad Year2022 could have gone so much worse for Biden. 2024 — and all the steps he must take to show he’s still electable — looms next.
    By Ed Kilgore
  19. 2022 midterms
    Why Did Democrats Get the Late Breaks in the Midterms?A lot of the shock and awe over the midterm results was the product of an expectation of a late Republican surge that didn’t happen.
    By Ed Kilgore
  20. 2022 midterms
    Another Former Lover Accuses Herschel Walker of MisconductMany women have painted a portrait of Walker as an unstable and violence-prone man possibly suffering from untreated mental illness.
    By Ed Kilgore
  21. early and often
    Democrats Should Worry About Signs of Lower Black TurnoutEven in states where Black candidates headed up Democratic tickets, turnout was down. Democrats need to figure out why that happened.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. early and often
    Herschel Walker Can’t Shake His Texas Residency ProblemThe GOP Senate candidate is being hit with renewed questions about his residency, which underscore claims that his heroic image in Georgia is hollow.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. 2022 midterms
    How the House Was Won (and Lost)Republicans benefited from a fairly uniform shift in their direction among a relatively stable electorate. But Dobbs hurt them.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. 2022 midterms
    Warnock Is Going After Kemp Voters in the Georgia RunoffThe Democrat hopes to convince some Republicans that supporting him, or just staying home, is better than voting for Herschel Walker.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. early and often
    Kari Lake Is Denying Her Election LossIn a video posted Thursday, Lake said her legal team is “exploring every avenue to correct the many wrongs that have been done this past week.”
    By Nia Prater
  26. just asking queestions
    The Pollster Who Predicted a Red Wave Explains HimselfTrafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly says he underestimated how bad Republicans were at getting out the vote.
    By Benjamin Hart
  27. early and often
    Republicans Clinch the House and That Means Gridlock BeginsThe smaller Kevin McCarthy’s majority, the less he will be willing to cooperate with Democrats.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. 2022 midterms
    The Mitch McConnell vs. Rick Scott Spat Is Heating UpScott is carrying Trump’s water in an increasingly bitter dispute over who lost the midterms. Now he’s challenging McConnell for Senate GOP leader.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. early and often
    How Did the Election Deniers Supported by Democrats Do?An accounting of the controversial practice of boosting Republicans in primaries.
    By Matt Stieb
  30. 2022 midterms
    Are Democrats Rebuilding Their ‘Blue Wall’ for 2024?Some Democratic optimists think states won narrowly in a midterm will fall easily in a presidential year. But voter inflexibility may explain it all.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. just asking questions
    Why Tom Bonier Knew There Would Be No Red WaveMonths ago, the Democratic strategist said this time the midterms would be different because of the backlash to Dobbs. Here’s what he’s learned since.
    By Nia Prater
  32. early and often
    New York Does Not Have a Democratic PartyThe midterms show the statewide organization is worse than ineffective; it is practically nonexistent when it comes to electing candidates.
    By Ross Barkan
  33. early and often
    Katie Hobbs Defeats Kari Lake in Arizona Governor’s RaceThe rising MAGA star and prominent election denier is already signaling she won’t accept the outcome.
    By Chas Danner
  34. 2022 midterms
    Just How Unusual Were These Midterms?There are some parallels with 1962, 1998, and a few other years. But the more you look at it, the more 2022 could be unique.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. 2022 midterms
    Who Has the Edge in Georgia’s Suddenly Less Momentous Senate Runoff?Herschel Walker trailed the rest of the GOP ticket in his state, but beyond that, national investment in this race is now in question.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. 2022 midterms
    Electability Is Great AgainLessons from the midterms could make a Biden-Trump 2024 rematch much less of a sure thing.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. the city politic
    New Yorkers Rejected the Doom and Gloom About CrimeMidterm voters did not accept the premise that crime is an all-consuming battle that New York is losing.
    By Errol Louis
  38. 2022 midterms
    Democrats Keep Control of the SenateNevada’s Catherine Cortez Masto defeated Republican Adam Laxalt to give Democrats their 50th Senate vote in the next Congress.
    By Ed Kilgore
  39. 2022 midterms
    Democrats Made Gains in the States, TooThey flipped two governorships and several state legislative chambers while holding off Republican election deniers.
    By Ed Kilgore
  40. just asking questions
    Donald Trump’s Gift to DemocratsCook Political Report’s Amy Walter on the ex-president’s pivotal role in an unusual midterm.
    By Benjamin Hart
  41. just asking questions
    John Fetterman’s Team on How the Stroke Changed His CampaignSenior adviser Rebecca Katz on the health crisis, the controversy, and how they turned a purple state blue on Election Day.
    By Nia Prater
  42. 2022 midterms
    How Many Republican Chokers Is Trump Responsible For?The GOP was supposed to easily win the Senate this year, but it’s had some big misfires.
    By Ed Kilgore
  43. the inside game
    The Vindication (for Now) of Joe BidenBeing underestimated is not new to those who’ve been with him from the start.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  44. just asking questions
    How Democrats Beat Back the GOP on Crime and InflationVeteran pollster Stan Greenberg thinks some candidates addressed the issues smartly — but that Joe Biden is out of touch.
    By Benjamin Hart
  45. liveblog
    The Red Wave That Wasn’t: UpdatesBiden said Wednesday that voters had proven that “democracy is who we are.”
    By Intelligencer Staff
  46. 2022 midterms
    How Accurate Were the Polls in the 2022 Elections?While votes are still being counted and there were some big misses, the polls were generally more on the mark than last time around.
    By Ed Kilgore
  47. tremendous content
    Trump Insists Election Disaster Was Actually ‘a Big Victory’Across the political spectrum, Donald Trump was dubbed Tuesday night’s biggest loser. But in his personal fantasyland, it was a different story.
    By Margaret Hartmann
  48. 2022 midterms
    Arizona and Nevada Could Make or Break a Democratic SenateDems have reason to be cautiously optimistic.
    By Benjamin Hart
  49. 2022 midterms
    The Midterms’ Fresh Faces: 6 History-Making Politicians Elected in 2022A look at some of the rising stars who triumphed on Tuesday.
    By Nia Prater
  50. 2022 midterms
    The Abortion-Rights Winning Streak ContinuesKentucky rejected a constitutional abortion ban, and California, Michigan, and Vermont added abortion rights to their state constitutions.
    By Ed Kilgore
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