Trump Can Win in 2020. But History Tells Us It Won’t Be Easy.
Yes, incumbents usually have an advantage. They usually are more popular than Donald J. Trump though.
By Ed KilgoreIncumbency
Most Recent Articles
Exactly How High Could That 2018 Democratic Wave Rise?
Yes, Republicans have some institutional advantages in their efforts to hang onto the House. But they only help so much in a wave election.
By Ed KilgoreThe Democrats Really Can Win the House in 2018
There’s a long way to go, but Trump’s approval ratings, the generic ballot, and the 2017 results all point to huge blue gains.
By Ed KilgoreGOP Retirements May Determine Whether the Democrats Take Back The House
There are many things Democrats need to take back the House next year. One they don’t yet have is abundant GOP retirements.
By Ed KilgoreBLOGVERTORIAL/SPONSORSHIP AD CODE
Beware of Pundits Saying That America Is Tired of Having a Democrat in the White House
The idea that there is a “law” that says Clinton will lose for that reason is belied by history.
By Ed Kilgore