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Poll Position
poll position
Apr. 19, 2024
Trump vs. Biden Polls: How Will the Hush-Money Trial Play? Polling shows voters consider these charges the least serious made against Trump, and reactions to a possible conviction match party affiliation.
poll position
Apr. 13, 2024
Biden Has All But Caught Up With Trump in Polls There are many variables at play, including RFK Jr. and whose voters turn out.
poll position
Apr. 6, 2024
Trump vs. Biden Polls: Will Old Folks Save Joe? There are signs Biden is holding on to a significant percentage of the senior vote against Trump, which may offset his problems with younger voters.
poll position
Mar. 30, 2024
Trump vs. Biden Polls: Joe Has Finally Stopped the Bleeding President Biden didn’t really have a post-SOTU polling “bounce.” But he’s stopped losing ground to Trump and is even making some modest gains.
poll position
Mar. 27, 2024
What the Polls Say Today: RFK Jr. Now Hurting Biden, Helping Trump Initially the vaccine skeptic and conspiracy theorist seemed to be drawing more votes from Trump, but that’s changed — and it could change again.
poll position
Mar. 15, 2024
Trump vs. Biden Polls: No State of the Union Bounce for Joe The president’s big SOTU speech might ultimately represent a turning point for his reelection bid. But the numbers don’t show it happening just yet.
poll position
Mar. 4, 2024
California Senate Polls: Schiff Helps Garvey Edge Out Fellow Democrats Adam Schiff spent millions to ensure a long-shot GOP candidate will be his general-election rival. Polls of the March 5 primary show it’s working.
poll position
Mar. 3, 2024
Biden vs. Trump Polls: Joe’s Battleground Problem Beating Trump in the popular vote may not be enough for Biden to win the Electoral College.
poll position
Feb. 24, 2024
Biden vs. Trump Polls: 2024 Race Is a Dead Heat, Despite Democrat Panic All the talk about Biden’s age changing everything hasn’t caused much of a shift in 2024 election polling.
poll position
Feb. 15, 2024
What the Polls Say Today: Does Haley Have a Shot in South Carolina? Trump appears to be romping toward victory in Haley’s home state and beyond.
poll position
Feb. 8, 2024
What the Polls Say Today: There’s No Hope for Nikki Haley Trump’s only remaining GOP rival isn’t polling well in this month’s South Carolina primary, and the road gets even rockier from there.
poll position
Feb. 1, 2024
A 5-Way Presidential Race May Help Trump Beat Biden It’s unclear where candidates like Jill Stein, RFK Jr., and Cornel West will qualify for the ballot. But it looks like the more the merrier for MAGA.
poll position
Jan. 28, 2024
4 Reasons Biden’s 2024 Odds May Be Better Than You Think The president is quite unpopular, but an improving economy and a potentially criminal opponent may swing the election in Democrats’ favor.
poll position
Jan. 23, 2024
What the Polls Say Today: Trump Poised to Win New Hampshire Handily Nikki Haley has come far, but her lack of support among base Republicans makes a New Hampshire primary upset very unlikely.
poll position
Jan. 18, 2024
What the Polls Say Today: Trump’s Lead in the GOP Race Is Soaring Polls of Super Tuesday states suggest New Hampshire is Nikki Haley’s one chance to upset Donald Trump in the GOP contest.
poll position
Jan. 16, 2024
Iowa Caucus Polls Pretty Much Nailed It The 2024 Iowa caucuses presented lots of obstacles for pollsters, from weather to Trump supporters’ evasiveness. They were still pretty accurate.
poll position
Jan. 14, 2024
What the Iowa Polls Say Today: Trump Romps While DeSantis Sinks Recent surveys agree that Trump will win by a record margin as DeSantis and Haley fight for second place.
poll position
Dec. 22, 2023
What the Polls Said This Year: Trump’s Up, Americans Are Down Here’s how primary and general-election polls have evolved over 2023, and what they tell us about where the race is headed.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Dec. 11, 2023
What the Polls Say Today: Trump Is Trouncing DeSantis and Haley in Iowa The winnowing of the GOP field has only added to Trump’s strength, according to a new gold-standard Iowa poll by Ann Selzer.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Nov. 10, 2023
The 2024 Polls Agree: Trump Has a Significant Lead Over Biden Much could change in the next year, but right now Trump is ahead of Biden nationally and in most battleground states.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 19, 2023
Trump Leads Biden in Latest Battleground State Polls The 2024 general election is far away. But it’s not too early to pay attention to the places where the next presidency will actually be determined.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Sept. 19, 2023
What the Polls Say Today: Trump’s Rivals Need a New Strategy, Fast After a string of supposedly fatal campaign missteps, Trump’s polling stronger than ever. His rivals need to realize he’s not going to self-destruct.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Aug. 22, 2023
What the Polls Say Today: Trump Still Riding High in Iowa A long-awaited Iowa poll from Ann Selzer shows Trump maintaining a strong lead in the state that will vote first. DeSantis is down but not out.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Aug. 11, 2023
There’s Zero Evidence Trump’s Biggest Indictment Is Affecting the GOP Race So far, Trump being charged with multiple felonies for trying to steal an election isn’t hurting his bid for the 2024 nomination at all.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Aug. 1, 2023
NYT Poll Shows Trump Has a Very Decent Shot of Winning in 2024Right now, it’s a tight rematch between two unpopular candidates.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
July 31, 2023
A Major New Poll Shows How Badly Anti-Trump Republicans Are Doing A highly representative survey with tons of data shows how strong the 45th president’s grip remains.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
July 24, 2023
Polls Show DeSantis Really Does Need a Reboot DeSantis still trails Trump a lot nationally, and now he’s showing some potentially fatal weaknesses in the early states as rivals creep up on him.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
June 15, 2023
Two Indictments Later, Trump Is Still the Republican Front-runner Polls show that despite his worsening legal trouble and increasingly extreme rhetoric, the 45th president isn’t losing any ground in the 2024 race.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
May 18, 2023
Trump Builds Huge Lead in Polls As DeSantis Revs Engines DeSantis needs to announce and build a comeback narrative, as Trump is starting to run him off the track.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
May 8, 2023
Democrats Shouldn’t Freak Out Over One Really Bad Poll for Biden Even good pollsters produce outliers now and then. The ABC-Washington Post poll showing Biden crashing and burning is probably one of them.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Apr. 21, 2023
Trump’s Lead Over DeSantis Is Still Growing Multiple polls show Trump steadily increasing his lead over the Florida governor. The rest of the 2024 GOP primary field is far behind.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Mar. 17, 2023
What the Polls Say Today: DeSantis Showing Weakness Against Trump Maybe his “midterm bounce” is wearing off, or maybe he’s being too passive against attacks. But the the Florida locomotive is slowing down.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Mar. 8, 2023
Biden Starts 2024 Race With 73-Point Lead Over Primary Opponent Maybe Marianne Williamson isn’t a “serious” challenger, but if no other Democrat runs, her standing is a testament to Biden’s strength.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Mar. 1, 2023
2024 Polls Show DeSantis Can’t Easily Knock Out Trump Despite the hype about Ron DeSantis surging past Donald Trump, both Republicans look unusually strong at this early stage of the presidential race.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Feb. 7, 2023
Biden Is Trump (When It Comes to Popularity) Biden hopes tonight’s State of the Union address will sway voters, but there’s growing evidence that opinions of any president are hard to move.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Feb. 3, 2023
Trump’s Lead in 2024 Polls May Be Thinner Than We Thought The ex-president looks weaker against Ron DeSantis and other likely Republican rivals in the polls that were most reliable last year.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Jan. 11, 2023
Biden’s Job-Approval Rating Is Getting Close to Positive The president’s net approval numbers improved steadily since midsummer. With another jolt of popularity, he could be in good position for reelection.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Dec. 14, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: DeSantis’s Electability Is a Problem for Trump Polls showing Republican unhappiness with Trump or interest in DeSantis may matter less than signs one is much stronger than the other against Biden.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Dec. 6, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: It’s Warnock’s Race to Lose Even polls that showed Herschel Walker leading in November now show Raphael Warnock slightly ahead.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Nov. 8, 2022
The Final 2022 Midterms Polling Forecast As Election Day arrives, polls show a lot of close races. While there’s talk of a Republican wave, there’s also potential for big Democratic wins.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Nov. 4, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Election Deniers Won’t Run the 2024 Election In key 2024 battleground states, MAGA candidates’ hopes of taking over the election machinery are not looking great.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Nov. 3, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Doug Mastriano’s Hopes Fade As we approach the finish line for the midterms, some races seem resolved, like the Pennsylvania governor’s race. But an awful lot are still in play.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Nov. 2, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Adam Laxalt (Might) Have the Lead In one of the country’s hottest races, two polls have the Republican up significantly — but a third shows Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto holding on.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Nov. 1, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Outliers Show Tudor Dixon and Lee Zeldin Surging While some pollsters see big upsets in Michigan and New York, all is quiet in once-tense Colorado and Missouri.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 31, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Red Alert for Patty Murray? The Washington Democrat could be in trouble, but there’s relatively good news for her party in other Senate races.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 28, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Maybe Warnock Really Is Going ‘Downhill’ in Georgia Perhaps what Chuck Schumer told Joe Biden about Georgia is right, but Governor Kathy Hochul is doing a bit better.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 27, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Is Kari Lake Building a Huge Lead? In Arizona, the latest midterms polling has Lake ahead by double digits. Meanwhile, deep-blue Oregon could elect a Republican governor, too.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 26, 2022
What the Polls Say Today: Sunny Skies for Florida Republicans The latest midterms surveys show key races from Georgia to Wisconsin remain close, but Florida incumbents Marco Rubio and Ron DeSantis are cruising.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 15, 2022
Trump’s Terrible Senate Candidates Could Still Win GOP Senate nominees like Mehmet Oz, Blake Masters, and Herschel Walker looked vulnerable in the summer, but polls show their races tightening.
By Ed Kilgore
poll position
Oct. 5, 2022
Democrats Aren’t Laughing at Dr. Oz Anymore As Pennsylvania Race Tightens Recent polls show the Pennsylvania Senate race between John Fetterman and Mehmet Oz — a must-win for both parties — is a toss-up.
By Ed Kilgore
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