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Red Mirage

  1. early and often
    US-VOTE
    Is Trump Gearing Up for Another Premature Victory Claim?Trump has abandoned an RNC voting-by-mail initiative. It could be a sign that he’s looking to demonize mail ballots and replay his 2020 strategy.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. early and often
    Fani Willis Gets It Right: Trump’s Coup Started on Election NightMillions of Americans woke up after the 2020 election to learn that Trump had made up a theory for throwing out the votes that would defeat him.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. early and often
    Trump Backs Early Voting, But Says It’s Still ‘Election Rigging’He’s urging Republicans to “beat the radical left at their own game” by taking advantage of the (perfectly legal) voting methods he demonized in 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. election coup
    Did Trump Really Claim Victory on Election Night on a Whim?The idea of declaring victory based only on the in-person vote was telegraphed for months. Now, Trump insiders claim it was somehow impulsive.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. election coup
    Will Republicans Try Another Election Coup in 2024?Jonathan Last argues that 2020 could have been a dress rehearsal, and that a 2022 purge by Trump could make it work next time.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. voting rights
    Republicans Return to Old Voter-Suppression PlaybookTrump shifted the focus to phony vote-by-mail fraud claims, but Republicans tried to limit all kinds of voting pre-2020 — and they’re at it again.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. voting rights
    State Republicans’ War on Voting by Mail Has BegunThe GOP, which once championed the practice, is reintroducing restrictions abandoned years ago.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. vision 2020
    Why Did Trump’s Plan to Contest an Election Defeat Fail?For months, many feared that Trump was plotting to mount an election challenge. His efforts were either insufficiently serious or merely incompetent.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. contested election
    Trump’s Hold on the GOP Rank and File Continues to Be AmazingHe convinced millions to vote in person, then convinced millions more than the partisan split in voting methods he engineered proves massive fraud.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. contested election
    Rudy Melts Down Over Trump and ‘Voter Fraud’ During Insane Press ConferenceThe president’s legal team alleged a vast conspiracy to install Joe Biden, bankrolled by “communist money.”
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. vision 2020
    What Donald Trump Wants the Supreme Court to Do to Help Him WinTrump may ask the Supreme Court’s conservative majority to kill ballots postmarked by Election Day but received later.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. vision 2020
    How Likely Is a Premature Trump Declaration of Victory?Trump needs a win or a draw in several close states, including Pennsylvania, before he can think about claiming victory or contesting the results.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. vision 2020
    Will Anyone Possibly Be Able to Call the Presidential Race on Election Night?Why you should be extra-skeptical of pundits (and the president) making declarations on November 3.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. supreme court
    Trump’s Justices Show How They Might Help Him in Contested ElectionGorsuch defends Republican state legislatures’ power over election disputes. Kavanaugh echoes Trump’s attacks on mail-in ballots. Be very afraid.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. vision 2020
    Why the Size of Biden’s Lead Still MattersThere’s the down-ballot impact, the possibility of polling error, and the need to keep Trump from declaring victory based on early returns.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. vision 2020
    What the Early-Voting Deluge Could Mean for the ElectionRecord levels of early voting may mean record overall turnout. But even if early voters are just voting earlier, it could make for a quicker count.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. 2020 elections
    We May Have to Wait for Senate Election Results, TooFor reasons ranging from slow counts of mail ballots to funky majority-vote requirements, we may not know who controls the Senate until January.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. social media
    Twitter Adds ‘Friction’ to Limit Election Chaos, But Is It Enough?With one eye on President Trump, the company introduced a raft of changes to prevent dangerous misinformation from going viral on Election Night.
    By Chas Danner
  19. vision 2020
    Should We Stop Panicking About Trump Stealing the Election?The odds of a contested presidential election have dropped. But until Trump’s attacks on mail ballots are repudiated by his party, some risk remains.
    By Ed Kilgore
  20. vision 2020
    The Democratic Advantage in Voting by Mail Is a Mixed BlessingDemocrats will be able to “bank” a lot of early votes, but then they may have to fight all the way to the Supreme Court to get them counted.
    By Ed Kilgore
  21. presidential debates
    Trump Closes Debate by Threatening Election Night ChaosRather than forswearing an early victory claim, Trump said the Supreme Court should weigh in on his incoherent, fact-free attacks on voting by mail.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. vision 2020
    Trump Keeps Repeating These Ludicrous Attacks on Voting by MailSome Trump claims are made up, others are exaggerations, and still others mistake safeguards against fraud for fraud.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. vision 2020
    Will Fox News Save Democracy With an Accurate Election Night Call?The real test for decision desks may come when data suggests a call for Biden despite Trump’s in-person voting lead.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. vision 2020
    How Biden Can Challenge Trump on Trying to Rig the ElectionBiden should try to split Trump from his enablers by disclaiming an attack on the legitimacy of the Electoral College if all votes are counted.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. vision 2020
    GOP Offers Mild Pushback on Trump’s Threat to ‘Get Rid of the Ballots’It’s slightly better than nothing.
    By Benjamin Hart
  26. vision 2020
    A Nightmarish End to the 2020 Elections Is Becoming All Too PlausibleBarton Gellman lays out in great detail how Trump might use chaos to steal a second term, or at least create a constitutional crisis.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. vision 2020
    A Rational Case for How Trump Could Win the Election Without Stealing ItSean Trende argues Trump’s relatively high approval ratings, an improving economy, and Biden’s base problems could reelect Trump in another upset.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. contested election
    The System for Resolving a Contested Presidential Election Is Also a MessThe two-week period in Congress in January is convoluted, depends on the good faith of the party in power, and requires lawmakers to act briskly.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. vision 2020
    In a Contested Election, This Time Democrats Won’t Be Drowned OutIn 2000, Republicans intimidated their way to a stolen election. If Trump tries that again, he may face peaceful mass demonstrations.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. vision 2020
    Social-Media Platforms Will Discourage Premature Election Victory ClaimsWhat Twitter and Facebook are doing should be emulated and expanded by all broadcast and cable networks before Election Night.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. vision 2020
    Top Republican Election Lawyer Trashes Trump’s ‘Voter Fraud’ LiesBen Ginsberg tried to find widespread “voter fraud” for decades. Now he’s calling out Trump’s claims as fraudulent.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. vision 2020
    Trump Backers Make a Case for Stealing Election, Before Biden Gets the ChanceConservatives are advancing a dangerous argument, suggesting a premature Trump victory declaration may be justified by a planned Democratic coup.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. past is prologue
    The Last Time a Contested Election Tore the Country ApartThe 1876 presidential election and the compromise that settled it offer some key lessons as the possibility of a contested 2020 election result looms.
    By Ed Kilgore
  34. vision 2020
    Mail Ballot Requests Are Sky High, and They’re Largely From DemocratsExpectations that mail ballot requests will spike are being fulfilled, along with a partisan tilt in voting methods and a maybe a contested election.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. vision 2020
    Democrats Scramble to Prevent Premature Trump Victory DeclarationIn battlegrounds with little experience voting by mail, a faster count may keep Trump from calling the race before all the votes are counted.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. vision 2020
    Can Florida Save Us From a Contested Presidential Election?The Sunshine State is expected to report quickly on Election Night, and if Biden has won it, the odds of Trump credibly claiming victory go down.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. vision 2020
    An Election Night ‘Red Mirage’ Is a Nightmare for DemocratsEvidence grows that thanks to big partisan splits in voting methods, Trump may have an Election Night lead even if mail ballots doom him to defeat.
    By Ed Kilgore