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early and often
Dec. 13, 2023
New York Redistricting Could Make or Break Democrats in 2024 Likely control of the U.S. House has been teetering between the two parties for months. Now New York’s next move may decide it.
By Ed Kilgore
How Jamaal Bowman Tried to Spin Pulling a Capitol Hill Fire Alarm The New York Democrat claims he was in a rush to vote and thought the fire alarm would open a locked door in his way.
By Ben Jacobs
early and often
Oct. 1, 2023
Kevin McCarthy Traded One Crisis For Another The Speaker will now face a “motion to vacate” by Florida congressman Matt Gaetz and his hard-right allies in the House.
By Ben Jacobs
2022 midterms
Nov. 19, 2022
How the House Was Won (and Lost) Republicans benefited from a fairly uniform shift in their direction among a relatively stable electorate. But Dobbs hurt them.
By Ed Kilgore
early and often
Oct. 30, 2022
The Man in the MAGA Middle Kevin McCarthy’s campaign to be Speaker means no enemies to the right, left, or center in his caucus.
By Ben Jacobs
early and often
Aug. 27, 2022
Alaska Will Send Either Sarah Palin or a Democrat to Congress The state’s complex new voting system is producing a surprise result in the special election to complete the term of the late congressman Don Young.
By Ed Kilgore
gun control
June 12, 2022
By Olivia Truffaut-Wong
2022 midterms
Jan. 19, 2022
Biden’s Approval Rating Is Low But Still Higher Than Trump’s With better skill than he’s shown lately and a bit of luck, Biden can mitigate 2022 midterm losses and bounce back in 2024.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2020
Oct. 20, 2021
2020 Was a Victory That Quietly Crushed Democrats’ Hopes Winning the White House and Congress was obviously better than losing, but many current Democratic struggles are rooted in 2020 underperformance.
By Ed Kilgore
Will Abortion Dominate the 2022 Midterms? It’s possible that, given the current and near-future actions of the U.S. Supreme Court, abortion could matter more than ever to pro-choice voters.
By Ed Kilgore
The Future Could Actually Be Bright for Republicans The GOP comeback will likely begin with retaking the House in 2022, then probably the Senate, and maybe the presidency.
By Ed Kilgore
2022 midterms
Mar. 31, 2021
Democrats Have a Good Chance of Holding the Senate in 2022 With the Judiciary on the line, the Senate landscape favors Democrats in the next midterms.
By Ed Kilgore
Nancy Pelosi Is Narrowly Reelected House Speaker With 216 votes to her Republican opponent’s 209, the Democrat secured another term as leader of the House.
By Claire Lampen
contested election
Dec. 10, 2020
Every Republican in Congress May Have to Vote on Trump’s Coup Die-hard supporters of the president may force a January vote to overturn Biden’s Electoral College majority.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Dec. 1, 2020
Republicans Claw Back 4 California Congressional Seats It wasn’t a good election for California Republicans otherwise, but they did regain ground in the U.S. House.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Nov. 19, 2020
Which House Races Still Aren’t Called? A narrowed Democratic margin in the House could swell or shrink as the last four races are eventually called.
By Ed Kilgore
Was Late Shift to GOP About Polling Error or Late Deciders? We won’t know for a while, but the most likely answer right now is “both.”
By Ed Kilgore
Biden Had One Job and He Did It Biden took advantage of all Trump’s self-inflicted political wounds and now looks to be a necessary if limited transitional president.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Nov. 4, 2020
Republicans Make Shocking Gains in the House Democrats were expected to win several seats, but will instead lose a handful. Nancy Pelosi now faces a potential revolt.
By Ed Kilgore
17 Republicans Refuse to Condemn QAnon in House Vote They did so even after a Democratic colleague was targeted with death threats by the conspiracy’s followers a few days earlier.
By Charlotte Klein
vision 2020
Sept. 28, 2020
Pelosi Makes Plans for House Election of President If the Electoral College is deadlocked, the House will elect the next president under a scenario favoring Republicans that Pelosi will try to reverse.
By Ed Kilgore
QAnon Booster Marjorie Greene Continues March Toward Congress It’s hard to be too extreme in pockets of red America like Georgia’s 14th District, where Greene just won the Republican primary.
By Ed Kilgore
Another QAnon Sympathizer Knocks Off GOP Congressman in Colorado Primary Despite a Trump endorsement, Scott Tipton was no match for the owner of a gun-themed restaurant called Shooters Grill who defied public-health orders.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
May 6, 2020
Six Months From the Election, Pelosi’s Gavel Seems Secure With limited presidential momentum, a deficit in open seats, and a gap in the generic ballot, Republicans won’t take the House until at least 2022.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Apr. 1, 2020
Republican Women in Congress Will Remain a Small Band in 2021 The small ranks of Republican women in the Senate could fall in 2020, and probably won’t rise above the current 13 members in the House.
By Ed Kilgore
Always Trumper Mark Meadows Announces Retirement From Congress He will serve out his term, he said, unless Trump offers him a better job.
By Adam K. Raymond
Number of House Republicans Who Back Impeachment Inquiry Returns to Zero Mark Amodei, a Nevada congressman, appeared to come out in favor of the House impeachment inquiry last week — but then he backed off.
By Adam K. Raymond
2020 congressional elections
July 30, 2019
Retirements May Hobble House Republicans Party officials are bracing for a wave of GOP members of Congress heading for the exits after the August recess, reducing chances to flip control.
By Ed Kilgore
reapportionment.
July 22, 2019
How the Political Map Is Likely to Shift After the 2020 Census While congressional redistricting is a tricky game, we already have a pretty clear idea of which states will gain or lose House seats.
By Ed Kilgore
mueller time
July 1, 2019
Republicans Prepare to Badger Mueller at First Public Hearing Louie Gohmert, who will question the former counsel, called him an “anal opening.” Let’s hope he keeps it clean on July 17.
By Adam K. Raymond
Jon Stewart Yelled at Members of Congress for Ignoring 9/11 First Responders “It’s an embarrassment to the country and it’s a stain on this institution.”
By Adam K. Raymond
Trump’s Biggest Wall Is Now the One Blocking Congressional Oversight The president and his allies have already obstructed more than 20 congressional investigations, with no end in sight.
By Chas Danner
Democrats Schedule Vote to Hold William Barr in Contempt The AG refuses to give Congress the unredacted Mueller report.
By Adam K. Raymond
Why Democrats Will Almost Certainly Hold the House in 2020 If history is any guide, Republicans could make House gains in 2020, but not enough to regain control.
By Ed Kilgore
Michael Cohen Agrees to Spill the Beans in Public Congressional Testimony Donald Trump’s former fixer will speak to the House Oversight Committee on February 7.
By Adam K. Raymond
government shutdown
Jan. 7, 2019
Democrats Say They’ll Shut Down the Senate Until It Reopens the Government Trump’s got his “national emergency” alternative, but Democrats could stop regular Senate business until the chamber deals with the shutdown.
By Ed Kilgore
2020 elections
Dec. 10, 2018
Trump Better Get Used to a Democratic House The odds of Republicans regaining the House in 2020 even if Trump is reelected aren’t great.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Nov. 28, 2018
With One Final Democratic Victory, Midterms End All in all, it was a good year for donkeys, and a good start on their 2020 goals.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Nov. 28, 2018
Cindy Hyde-Smith Joins a Rare Club: Women Elected to High Office in the South Mike Espy’s election would have been truly historic. But Cindy Hyde-Smith made some modest history of her own.
By Ed Kilgore
Lucy McBath Declares Victory in Bid for Newt Gingrich’s Old Congressional Seat McBath came to national prominence after her son, Jordan Davis, was shot and killed by a racist motorist in Florida in 2012.
By Zak Cheney-Rice
2018 midterms
Nov. 7, 2018
Democrats Take the House: All the Key Results While Tuesday didn’t bring the blue wave Democrats hoped for, they managed to pick up 27 seats thanks largely to urban and suburban voters.
By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms
Nov. 7, 2018
Why Trump’s Culture War Lost the Suburbs — But Held the Senate The president’s singular strength in rural areas will help Republicans consolidate power over the least majoritarian parts of our government.
By Eric Levitz
2018 midterms
Nov. 4, 2018
Where All the Key Races Stand, 2 Days Before the Midterms While Democrats are favored to win the House, the size of the blue wave remains unclear — and an unusual number of races remain too close to call.
By Ed Kilgore
House Republicans Are Trying to Thwart Dem Russia Probe House Intel chairman Devin Nunes is denying Democrats use of conference rooms, among other things, in hopes of crippling their Russia probe.
By Adam K. Raymond
Democrats Looking Good Again on Key Midterm Polling Numbers After some pro-Republican trends in the late spring and early summer, the generic congressional ballot and Trump’s approval ratings are stabilizing.
By Ed Kilgore
Washington Lobbyists Anticipating Democratic House Denizens of the swamp are hiring Democrats to shore up their relationships with the potential bosses of the next Congress.
By Ed Kilgore
House GOP’s Immigration ‘Compromise’ Was a Bigger Flop Than Their Last Bill The more House Republicans negotiate with each other over immigration policy, the less they seem to agree.
By Ed Kilgore
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