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Vision 2024
the power trip
Apr. 9, 2024
Arizona’s Senate Race Is a Battle Over the Nature of Reality Ground zero for the rigged-election conspiracy, the border state could decide both the fate of the Senate and the presidency.
Can Biden Keep the Black Vote? Why Democrats may be losing their grip on a once-loyal constituency.
the power trip
Jan. 27, 2024
Trump Haters Turned Trump Voters Why do so many Americans seem open to giving him a second chance?
vision 2024
Jan. 17, 2024
Do You Remember the Ecstasy of Electing Joe Biden? How the coalition that defeated Donald Trump crumbled.
early and often
Dec. 21, 2023
The Legal Merits of the Colorado Supreme Court Decision Don’t Matter The ruling may actually make it more likely that an insurrectionist becomes president in 2025.
By Eric Levitz
early and often
Dec. 20, 2023
By Eric Levitz
vision 2024
Dec. 18, 2023
The Alarming Calm of the Biden Campaign The campaign to reelect the extremely old man dragged down by inflation and war and trailing his criminally indicted opponent is going great.
early and often
Dec. 15, 2023
Third-Party and Independent Voters Are 2024’s Big Wild Card Polls show huge interest in candidates including RFK Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein. But is the threat to Biden and Trump just a mirage?
the power trip
Nov. 22, 2023
The Mind-Bending Politics of RFK Jr.’s Spoiler Campaign Biden says he’s a conservative. Trump says he’s a liberal. They’re both right — and he could turn the presidential race upside down.
By Olivia Nuzzi
The Radical Pessimism of Cornel West Condemned by Establishment Democrats, dismissed by academics. What else is there to do but run for president?
By Zak Cheney-Rice
Do Liberals Think the Supreme Court Will Save Us From Trump? Because that would have to happen to disqualify him from running under the 14th Amendment.
By Ankush Khardori
the national interest
Sept. 15, 2023
Challenging Biden Is Risky. So Is Nominating Him. A serious primary challenge could test and strengthen the president’s reelection campaign.
By Jonathan Chait
the national interest
Sept. 9, 2023
Why Isn’t a Mainstream Democrat Challenging Biden? The demand for a different option is robust. What is mystifyingly absent is the supply.
By Jonathan Chait
vision 2024
Aug. 24, 2023
Who Won (and Lost) the First Republican Debate It was a good night for Ron DeSantis and a bad one for your grandchildren.
By Eric Levitz
vision 2024
Aug. 19, 2023
The Rise of the Young, Liberal, Nonwhite Republican ? A significant minority of GOP voters are not what you would expect.
By Eric Levitz
J. B. Pritzker Is a New Democratic Power Broker The governor of Illinois is rich and powerful, making him both an ally to Joe Biden and his own center of influence.
By Gabriel Debenedetti
The Case for Cornel West 2024 Is Extremely Weak Helping Donald Trump win the presidency is not a good way of advancing progressive political goals.
By Eric Levitz
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s Inside Job How a conspiracy-spewing literal Kennedy posing as a populist outsider jolted the Democratic Party.
By Rebecca Traister
vision 2024
June 19, 2023
Trump’s Legal Woes Aren’t Bad Enough for the GOP’s Own Good The federal indictment has rendered Trump a weaker general-election candidate but done little to aid his primary rivals.
By Eric Levitz
early and often
May 29, 2023
The Contradiction at the Heart of DeSantis 2024 The Florida governor wants Republicans to know he is more electable and more extreme than Donald Trump.
By Eric Levitz
electoral autopsies
May 19, 2023
The Return of the Emerging Democratic Majority? In the most highly contested midterm races, millennials and zoomers turned out in even higher numbers than they did in 2018.
By Eric Levitz
Why the GOP Can’t Moderate On Abortion Pill Bans As public opinion moves left on abortion, the pro-life movement’s ambitions move ever rightward.
By Eric Levitz
the national interest
Mar. 27, 2023
What Ron DeSantis Can’t Fake Trump’s legal problems reveal an organic connection to the base that his rival is trying but failing to match.
By Jonathan Chait
early and often
Jan. 29, 2023
Trump’s First 2024 Pitch: It’s Me or World War III The former president had some things to say at his first two official campaign events over the weekend.
By Chas Danner
the power trip
Dec. 23, 2022
Donald Trump’s Final Campaign Inside his sad, lonely, thirsty, broken, basically pretend run for reelection. (Which isn’t to say he can’t win.)
By Olivia Nuzzi
Joe Biden’s Actually Not-at-All-Bad Year 2022 could have gone so much worse for Biden. 2024 — and all the steps he must take to show he’s still electable — looms next.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2024
Aug. 29, 2022
Please Shut Up About Liz Cheney or Larry Hogan in 2024 The media should quit indulging what is almost disinformation about their White House aspirations.
By Ed Kilgore
early and often
Aug. 22, 2022
What Would a Divided Congress Do After the Midterms? If the midterms produce a Republican House and a Democratic Senate, expect more noise than legislation for the rest of Biden’s term.
By Ed Kilgore
early and often
Aug. 8, 2022
The Biden Age Is Hitting Its Stride The debate over how old the president is and whether he should run again is a distraction from how much he has already accomplished.
By Errol Louis
the inside game
Aug. 1, 2022
The Kamala Conundrum The Democrats’ leader-in-waiting is unpopular, derided by donors, and here to stay.
By Gabriel Debenedetti
vision 2024
July 28, 2022
The Presidential-Election Landscape Keeps Getting Tougher for Democrats Dems should get used to needing a sizable national popular vote in order to win an Electoral College skewed against them.
By Ed Kilgore
donald trump
July 28, 2022
Trump to America: Next Time, No More Mr. Nice Guy Trump’s first speech in Washington since he left office was full of authoritarian menace.
By Ed Kilgore
Biden ’24 Is in Real Trouble Now If the president doesn’t turn things around, we may hear a lot of retirement as well as birthday wishes when he turns 80.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2024
July 14, 2022
Glenn Youngkin 2024 Rumors Are Pure Silliness Given too much credit for his 2021 gubernatorial win, the Virginia governor has a long road to go before he’s a serious presidential candidate.
By Ed Kilgore
the power trip
July 14, 2022
Donald Trump on 2024: ‘I’ve Already Made That Decision’ In an interview with New York, the former president says the only question left in his mind is when he’ll announce.
By Olivia Nuzzi
vision 2024
July 11, 2022
Are Democrats Stuck With Joe Biden in 2024? If the president is stubborn about running, there may be no realistic way for unhappy Democrats to get rid of him without a risky internal fight.
By Ed Kilgore
early and often
July 8, 2022
An Early Trump 2024 Announcement Could Screw Over the GOP, Again In two Georgia Senate runoffs that were crucial to the GOP in early 2021, Trump thought only of himself. There’s no reason to think he has changed.
By Ed Kilgore
early and often
May 25, 2022
President Mike Pence Would Be Worse Than Trump The former vice-president is attempting to bolster his chances in 2024, but Democrats would be wise to beware any attempt to rehabilitate his image.
By Ross Barkan
Democrats Quietly Search for an Alternative to Biden in 2024 Inside the 2024 soul-searching that’s happening in every corner of the Democratic Party — except the White House.
By Gabriel Debenedetti
2022 midterms
Feb. 10, 2022
Governors Could Be Key to Trump’s Next Coup Attempt Trump allies are poised to win in several crucial 2022 races, and election-reform efforts may overlook the threat posed by a rogue governor.
By Ed Kilgore
DeSantis Could Be Haunted by Florida’s ‘Generous’ Abortion Ban The governor is backing a 15-week abortion ban, which Republicans are billing as a compromise. But his strategy could anger the party’s extremists.
By Ed Kilgore
Nikki Haley’s Shameless Walk on the Trump Tightrope Her startling call for Biden to “step down” was clearly an attempt to atone for crossing Trump. But she may need her dignity someday.
By Ed Kilgore
2022 midterms
Jan. 19, 2022
Biden’s Approval Rating Is Low But Still Higher Than Trump’s With better skill than he’s shown lately and a bit of luck, Biden can mitigate 2022 midterm losses and bounce back in 2024.
By Ed Kilgore
vision 2024
Jan. 12, 2022
A Joe Biden–Liz Cheney 2024 Ticket Won’t Save America Thomas Friedman cites an Israeli precedent for his call for a coalition of national salvation. It’s not an apt comparison and probably wouldn’t work.
By Ed Kilgore
The Sad, Unconvincing Case for Pence 2024 Despite talk of Pence being the “shadow front-runner” for the GOP nomination, he still has no constituency for a presidential campaign.
By Ed Kilgore
Why Biden Finally Went After Trump on January 6 It was a no-brainer for a commemoration of the insurrection Trump incited, but the bigger question is whether Biden keeps at it.
By Ed Kilgore
authoritarianism
Jan. 3, 2022
Trump Endorses Viktor Orbán, His Hungarian Role Model It’s an unusual move that may signal what Trump hopes to achieve for himself.
By Ed Kilgore
Will a Doomed Voting-Rights Push Really Help Biden? Democrats’ “supercharged” drive to pass voting-rights legislation, which will likely fail, could discourage base voters more than sober realism.
By Ed Kilgore
Are Democrats Just Repeating Obama’s First Year? There are some striking similarities between the party’s current problems and what they faced 12 years ago. But Obama did manage to get reelected.
By Ed Kilgore
Trump Goes Global With Big Lie Litmus Test Foreign leaders like former Israeli prime minister Bibi Netanyahu are being cast as enemies for recognizing the 2020 election results.
By Ed Kilgore
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